Using machine learning methods to identify trajectories of change and predict responders and non-responders to short-term dynamic therapy.

Objectives: Predicting therapy responders can significantly improve clinical outcomes. This study aims to identify predictors of response to short-term dynamic therapy. Methods: Data from 95 patients who underwent 16-session therapy were analyzed using machine learning. Weekly progress was monitored...

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Publicado en:Psychotherapy Research Vol. 35; no. 7; pp. 1070 - 1087
Autores principales: Yonatan-Leus, Refael, Gwertzman, Gershom, Tishby, Orya
Formato: Artículo
Publicado: Taylor & Francis Ltd Sep2025
Materias:
Acceso en línea:Ver este registro en EBSCOhost
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      dt: Sep2025
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      pub: Taylor & Francis Ltd
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        10.1080/10503307.2024.2420725
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        atl: Using machine learning methods to identify trajectories of change and predict responders and non-responders to short-term dynamic therapy.
      aug:
        au:
          Yonatan-Leus, Refael
          Gwertzman, Gershom
          Tishby, Orya
        affil:
          Department of Psychology, The College of Management Academic Studies, Rishon LeTsiyon, Israel
          Department of Psychology, The Hebrew University of Jerusalem, Israel
          Paul Baerwald School of Social Work and Social Welfare, The Hebrew University of Jerusalem, Israel
      su:
        Machine learning
        Random forest algorithms
        Psychodynamic psychotherapy
        Health outcome assessment
        Treatment effectiveness
        Emotion regulation
        Individualized medicine
      sug:
        subj:
          Machine learning
          Random forest algorithms
          Psychodynamic psychotherapy
          Health outcome assessment
          Treatment effectiveness
          Emotion regulation
          Individualized medicine
      keyword:
        elastic net modeling
        machine learning
        non-responding
        random-forest
        short-term psychodynamic therapy
        suitability to treatment
        elastic net modeling
        machine learning
        non-responding
        random-forest
        short-term psychodynamic therapy
        suitability to treatment
      ab: Objectives: Predicting therapy responders can significantly improve clinical outcomes. This study aims to identify predictors of response to short-term dynamic therapy. Methods: Data from 95 patients who underwent 16-session therapy were analyzed using machine learning. Weekly progress was monitored with the Outcome Questionnaire (OQ45) and Target Complaints (TC). A machine learning model identified change trajectories for responders and non-responders, with a random forest algorithm and elastic net modeling predicting trajectory group membership using pre-treatment data. Results: A weak positive relationship was found between the trajectories of the two outcome variables. The results of the different analysis methods were compared and discussed. Important predictors of OQ45 trajectories, based on random forest modeling, included initial symptom severity, difficulties in emotion regulation, coldness, avoidant attachment, conscientiousness, interpersonal problems, non-acceptance of negative emotion, neuroticism, emotional clarity, impulsivity, and emotion awareness (72.8% accuracy). Initial problem severity, self-scarifying extraversion, and non-assertiveness were the most dominant predictors for TC trajectories (62.8% accuracy). Conclusions: These findings offer data-driven insights for selecting short-term dynamic therapy. Predicting response for the OQ45, a nomothetic measure, does not extend to the TC, an idiographic measure, and vice versa, highlighting the importance of multidimensional outcome evaluations for personalized treatment.
      pubtype: Academic Journal
      doctype: Article
      src: R
    language: English
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