The 2024 Presidential and Congressional Elections: Small Wave, Seismic Effects.

This article examines aggregate and survey data to describe and explain what happened in the 2024 presidential and congressional elections. It argues that Donald Trump's return to the White House resulted primarily from the unwavering support from the majority of ordinary Republicans who refused to...

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Publicado en:Political Science Quarterly (Oxford University Press / USA) Vol. 140; no. 3; pp. 439 - 474
Autor principal: Jacobson, Gary C
Formato: Artículo
Publicado: Oxford University Press / USA Fall2025
Materias:
Acceso en línea:Ver este registro en EBSCOhost
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        atl: The 2024 Presidential and Congressional Elections: Small Wave, Seismic Effects.
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        au: Jacobson, Gary C
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      ab: This article examines aggregate and survey data to describe and explain what happened in the 2024 presidential and congressional elections. It argues that Donald Trump's return to the White House resulted primarily from the unwavering support from the majority of ordinary Republicans who refused to acknowledge any serious wrongdoing on his part and who thus assured his nomination, and from the willingness of swing voters in the general election who were sufficiently unhappy with the economy and illegal immigration to overlook Trump's character and transgressions for the promise of better economic times and tighter borders. His narrow victory, along with the congressional election results, provide no evidence for any mandate beyond lowering prices and tightening borders, and certainly none for Trump's chaotic authoritarian assaults on a wide range of national and international institutions, rules, and norms.
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