Shortfall of Domestic Resources to Eradicate Extreme Poverty by 2030.

In 2015, the Sustainable Development Goals set the eradication of extreme poverty by 2030 as a universally agreed objective. This paper analyses the prospects for achieving this goal country by country. Without a reduction in inequality, even with a very optimistic annual growth rate of 7% between 2...

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Published in:Journal of Development Studies Vol. 61; no. 12; pp. 2063 - 2078
Main Author: Fabre, Adrien
Format: Article
Published: Taylor & Francis Ltd Dec2025
Subjects:
Online Access:View this record in EBSCOhost
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      dt: Dec2025
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      pub: Taylor & Francis Ltd
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        10.1080/00220388.2025.2493807
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        atl: Shortfall of Domestic Resources to Eradicate Extreme Poverty by 2030.
      aug:
        au: Fabre, Adrien
        affil: Centre international de recherche sur l'environnement et le développement (CIRED), Nogent-sur-Marne, France, Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS), Paris, France
      su:
        Sustainable Development Goals (United Nations)
        Poverty
        Sustainable development
        Economic expansion
        Income redistribution
        Information asymmetry
        Poverty reduction
        Wealth tax
      sug:
        subj:
          Poverty
          Sustainable development
          Economic expansion
          Income redistribution
          Information asymmetry
          Administration of General Economic Programs
          Poverty reduction
          Wealth tax
          Sustainable Development Goals (United Nations)
      keyword:
        domestic resource mobilization
        extreme poverty
        fiscal capacity
        poverty gap
        redistribution
        sustainable development goals
        domestic resource mobilization
        extreme poverty
        fiscal capacity
        poverty gap
        redistribution
        sustainable development goals
      ab: In 2015, the Sustainable Development Goals set the eradication of extreme poverty by 2030 as a universally agreed objective. This paper analyses the prospects for achieving this goal country by country. Without a reduction in inequality, even with a very optimistic annual growth rate of 7% between 2022 and 2030, 3% of humans would still be living in extreme poverty in 2030. National capacity to eradicate poverty is then measured using the concepts of antipoverty cap or antipoverty tax required to finance poverty eradication, and income floor (financed by a given income tax). With credible annual growth of 3%, even capping incomes at $7 a day (to finance an increase in incomes for the poorest individuals) cannot eradicate extreme poverty in 5 low-income countries. In other words, neither growth alone nor growth combined with radical domestic redistribution could eradicate extreme poverty by 2030. By contrast, a transfer of just 0.15% of global income could achieve this goal. This could be financed by a 2% tax on individual net wealth above $1 billion.
      pubtype: Academic Journal
      doctype: Article
      src: R
    language: English
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