Preschool and preadolescent antecedents of externalizing problems: a machine learning approach.

This study used a data-driven approach to elucidate the relative importance of child, maternal, and mother-child dyadic characteristics in predicting externalizing problems across two critical stages, preschool and preadolescence, that mark the development of externalizing problems. Data (N = 1,364)...

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Published in:European Child & Adolescent Psychiatry Vol. 34; no. 11; pp. 3401 - 3414
Main Authors: Yang, Yaqi, Wang, Yiji
Format: research tables/charts Journal Article
Published: Springer Nature Nov2025
Online Access:View this record in EBSCOhost
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      dt: Nov2025
      vid: 34
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      pub: Springer Nature
      place: New York, New York
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        10.1007/s00787-025-02754-1
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        atl: Preschool and preadolescent antecedents of externalizing problems: a machine learning approach.
      aug:
        au:
          Yang, Yaqi
          Wang, Yiji
        affil: https://ror.org/02n96ep67 Shanghai Key Laboratory of Mental Health and Psychological Crisis Intervention, School of Psychology and Cognitive Science, East China Normal University, 200062, Shanghai, China
      sug:
        subj:
          Child Behavior Disorders Etiology
          Child Behavior Disorders Risk Factors
          Risk Assessment
          Machine Learning Methods
          Funding Source
          Human
          Male
          Female
          Child, Preschool
          Child
          Descriptive Statistics
          Models, Theoretical
          Mother-Child Relations
          Secondary Analysis
          Prospective Studies
          Random Forest
          Random Sample
          Semi-Structured Interview
          Interrater Reliability
          T-Tests
          Chi Square Test
          Effect Size
          Bivariate Statistics
          Correlational Studies
          Depression Symptoms
          Child Behavior Checklist
          Checklists
          Scales
          Child, Preschool: 2-5 years
          Child: 6-12 years
          Male
          Female
      ab: This study used a data-driven approach to elucidate the relative importance of child, maternal, and mother-child dyadic characteristics in predicting externalizing problems across two critical stages, preschool and preadolescence, that mark the development of externalizing problems. Data (N = 1,364) were collected through maternal reports and observations during preschool and preadolescence. Using the random forest algorithm in machine learning, the results showed that the predictive models differed between preschool and preadolescence. For preschool antecedents of externalizing problems, maternal characteristics, such as depressive symptoms, education, and sensitivity, emerged as the most highly ranked predictors, followed by mother-child dyadic characteristics. Moreover, for preadolescent antecedents of externalizing problems, mother-child dyadic characteristics, including conflict and positive relationship, were identified as the top predictors, with maternal characteristics playing a secondary role. While child characteristics were relatively less influential across both age groups, child negative reactivity emerged as a salient predictor during preadolescence. The findings contribute data-driven evidence to elucidate the relative importance of preschool and preadolescent antecedents of externalizing problems, with maternal characteristics playing a central role in early childhood and mother-child dynamics becoming most important during preadolescence. Interventions targeting externalizing problems should be developmentally sensitive, with preschool programs emphasizing maternal well-being and early relational foundations, while preadolescent programs prioritize strengthening the mother-child relationships and addressing dyadic challenges.
      pubtype: Academic Journal
      doctype:
        research
        tables/charts
        Journal Article
      ougenre: Article
    language: English
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