The Curve Fitting Problem, Data Validation, and Inductive Generalization in Machine Learning.

Aris Spanos and Deborah Mayo's error-statistical approach to statistical modeling and inference adopts the reliability of inductive inference as a primary criterion for statistical model and estimator selection (e.g., curve fitting). In this paper, we expand the error-statistical approach's adoption...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Publicado en:Erkenntnis Vol. 90; no. 8; pp. 3767 - 3782
Autores principales: Tamir, Michael, Shech, Elay
Formato: Artículo
Publicado: Springer Nature Dec2025
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Acceso en línea:Ver este registro en EBSCOhost
Descripción
Sumario:Aris Spanos and Deborah Mayo's error-statistical approach to statistical modeling and inference adopts the reliability of inductive inference as a primary criterion for statistical model and estimator selection (e.g., curve fitting). In this paper, we expand the error-statistical approach's adoption of reliable inductive inference by scrutinizing the epistemic legitimacy of contemporary techniques leveraged in data science. We argue that data validation and testing potentially provides a direct, measurable method of evaluating evidence for reliable inductive inferences in cases where the error-statistical approach is not easily applied, and conclude with an exploration of core methodological foils to the reliability of inductive inference revealed by this argument.