Development and Evaluation of an Optimal Machine Learning Model for Predicting Nutritional Risk in Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma Patients: A Cross-Sectional Study.

Aim: To develop a predictive model for nutritional risk in patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) and identify clinically meaningful ranges for key risk factors to guide early intervention. Methods: This study enrolled 520 patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) who underwent radiotherapy...

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Publicado en:Nutrition & Cancer Vol. 78; no. 2; pp. 169 - 181
Autores principales: Zhu, Benxiang, Gao, Chang, Chen, Peijuan, Zhang, Lu, Liu, Lian, Zhang, Lili
Formato: research tables/charts Journal Article
Publicado: Taylor & Francis Ltd 2026
Acceso en línea:Ver este registro en EBSCOhost
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      dt: 2026
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      pub: Taylor & Francis Ltd
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        10.1080/01635581.2025.2591494
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        atl: Development and Evaluation of an Optimal Machine Learning Model for Predicting Nutritional Risk in Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma Patients: A Cross-Sectional Study.
      aug:
        au:
          Zhu, Benxiang
          Gao, Chang
          Chen, Peijuan
          Zhang, Lu
          Liu, Lian
          Zhang, Lili
        affil: School of Nursing, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, China
      sug:
        subj:
          Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma Complications
          Malnutrition Risk Factors
          Risk Assessment
          Machine Learning Evaluation
          Prediction Models Evaluation
          Malnutrition Therapy
          Early Intervention
          Reference Values
          Human
          Cancer Patients
          Cross Sectional Studies
          Male
          Female
          Adult
          Middle Age
          Hospitals
          China
          Body Mass Index
          Alanine Aminotransferase
          Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma Radiotherapy
          Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma Pathology
          Tumor Burden
          Severity of Illness
          Smoking
          Record Review
          Scales
          Machine Learning Algorithms
          ROC Curve
          Data Analysis Software
          T-Tests
          Nonparametric Statistics
          Chi Square Test
          Descriptive Statistics
          Funding Source
          Adult: 19-44 years
          Middle Aged: 45-64 years
          Male
          Female
      ab: Aim: To develop a predictive model for nutritional risk in patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) and identify clinically meaningful ranges for key risk factors to guide early intervention. Methods: This study enrolled 520 patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) who underwent radiotherapy at Guangzhou Nanfang Hospital from 2021 to 2024. Thirty-two baseline variables were collected, including body measurements, lab tests, treatment details, and lifestyle factors. Seven machine learning models were developed. Key predictors were selected using LASSO regression, and their importance was assessed using SHAP values. Results: The XGBoost model performed best, with an AUC of 0.775 on the validation set. Four main predictors of nutritional risk were identified: body mass index (BMI), alanine transaminase (ALT), clinical stage, and smoking status. Patients with a BMI between 21.5 and 24.9 kg/m2 and ALT values in the higher range of normal had a lower risk of malnutrition. These findings provide more specific guidance than existing tools. Conclusion: This study highlights the added value of combining clinical data and machine learning to identify both key predictors and their optimal ranges for nutritional risk.
      pubtype: Academic Journal
      doctype:
        research
        tables/charts
        Journal Article
      ougenre: Article
    language: English
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