Patterns, Causes, and Mortality Trends of Road Traffic Accidents in Hamedan Province, Iran: A Spatiotemporal Epidemiological Analysis (2011-2024).
Background: Road traffic accidents (RTAs) are a major cause of death, especially in developing countries. This study analyzed RTA patterns and trends in Hamadan province, Iran, from 2011 to 2024. Study Design: A cross-sectional study. Methods: Data on 6,488 road traffic fatalities, excluding non-roa...
| Publicado en: | Journal of Research in Health Sciences Vol. 26; no. 1; pp. 1 - 12 |
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| Autores principales: | , , , |
| Formato: | equations & formulas research tables/charts Journal Article |
| Publicado: |
Hamadan University of Medical Sciences, School of Public Health
Winter2026
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| Acceso en línea: | Ver este registro en EBSCOhost |
| fields | @attributes: recordID: 1 pdfLink: plink: https://search.ebscohost.com/login.aspx?direct=true&db=ccm&AN=190724422&site=ehost-live header: @attributes: shortDbName: ccm uiTerm: 190724422 longDbName: CINAHL Complete uiTag: AN controlInfo: bkinfo: dissinfo: jinfo: jid: 22287795 903Q jtl: Journal of Research in Health Sciences issn: 22287795 maglogo: N pubinfo: dt: Winter2026 vid: 26 iid: 1 pid: 54266 pub: Hamadan University of Medical Sciences, School of Public Health artinfo: ui: 190724422 190724422 190724422 10.34172/jrhs.11510 190724422 ppf: 1 ppct: 11 formats: fmt: @attributes: type: P tig: atl: Patterns, Causes, and Mortality Trends of Road Traffic Accidents in Hamedan Province, Iran: A Spatiotemporal Epidemiological Analysis (2011-2024). aug: au: Jalili, Ebrahim Khazaei, Salman Khazaei, Mahdi Omidi, Sanaz affil: Department of Emergency Medicine, School of Medicine, Hamadan University of Medical Sciences, Hamadan, Iran sug: subj: Accidents, Traffic Epidemiology Death, Accidental Mortality Accidents, Traffic Trends Accidents, Traffic Risk Factors Human Funding Source Iran Male Female Adult Middle Age Aged Epidemiological Research Geographic Factors Cross Sectional Studies Models, Statistical Head Injuries Facial Injuries Hemorrhage Age Factors Sex Factors Urban Population Marital Status Educational Status Algorithms Time Series Forecasting Descriptive Statistics Chi Square Test Adult: 19-44 years Middle Aged: 45-64 years Aged: 65+ years Male Female ab: Background: Road traffic accidents (RTAs) are a major cause of death, especially in developing countries. This study analyzed RTA patterns and trends in Hamadan province, Iran, from 2011 to 2024. Study Design: A cross-sectional study. Methods: Data on 6,488 road traffic fatalities, excluding non-road transport deaths, were obtained from the Forensic Medicine Organization. Demographics, injury type, location, and mode of transport were analyzed. Then, spatial clustering was performed using the K-prototype algorithm, with cluster quality assessed via the Silhouette Score. Finally, mortality trends were forecasted using the Prophet model with 95% prediction intervals and evaluated using RMSE, MAE, MASE, and MAPE. Results: The mean age of victims was 49 ± 21 years, with most deaths observed in the 15--44 age group. Most victims were male (75%), urban residents (60%), married (69%), and had not completed secondary education (41%). Fatalities mainly occurred at the scene (48%) or en route to the hospital (43%), with head/face injuries and hemorrhage as the leading causes. Spatial analysis revealed three clusters, with Famenin having the highest mortality (73.7 per 100,000). Mortality was projected to decline from 18.27 (16.01, 20.55) in 2025 to 9.57 (7.37, 11.69) in 2028, rising slightly to 13.94 (11.83, 16.17) in 2029. Conclusion: Overall, the findings emphasize the need for targeted regional interventions (e.g., road safety education, enhanced emergency services, and infrastructure upgrades) to reduce RTA mortality in the high-risk areas of Hamedan Province. pubtype: Academic Journal doctype: equations & formulas research tables/charts Journal Article ougenre: Article language: English refInfo: holdings: @attributes: islocal: N |
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