Application of random forest algorithm in identifying the risk of adverse nursing events.

Objective: To investigate the application value of the random forest algorithm in identifying key risk factors associated with adverse nursing events, to thereby provide clinical evidence for the early recognition and intervention of potential risks. Methods: A retrospective analysis was conducted o...

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Publicado en:Chinese Nursing Research Vol. 39; no. 24; pp. 4172 - 4176
Autores principales: WANG, Jing, HE, Jinyang, FANG, Pingping, WU, Yiling, LIU, Xiao
Formato: research tables/charts Journal Article
Publicado: Chinese Nursing Research Editorial Office Dec2025
Acceso en línea:Ver este registro en EBSCOhost
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      dt: Dec2025
      vid: 39
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      pub: Chinese Nursing Research Editorial Office
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        10.12102/j.issn.1009-6493.2025.24.013
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        atl: Application of random forest algorithm in identifying the risk of adverse nursing events.
      aug:
        au:
          WANG, Jing
          HE, Jinyang
          FANG, Pingping
          WU, Yiling
          LIU, Xiao
        affil: Jiangxi Maternal and Child Health Hospital, Jiangxi 330006 China
      sug:
        subj:
          Random Forest
          Algorithms
          Prediction Models
          Risk Assessment
          Adverse Health Care Event
          Quality of Nursing Care
          China
          Human
          Retrospective Design
          Tertiary Health Care
          Hospitals
          Accidental Falls Risk Factors
          Barthel Index
          Scales
          Age Factors
          Educational Status
          Patient Compliance
          Decision Making, Clinical
          Nursing Units
          Validity
          ROC Curve
          Productivity
          Early Diagnosis
          Early Intervention
      ab: Objective: To investigate the application value of the random forest algorithm in identifying key risk factors associated with adverse nursing events, to thereby provide clinical evidence for the early recognition and intervention of potential risks. Methods: A retrospective analysis was conducted on 659 cases of adverse nursing events among inpatients at a tertiary grade A hospital. Using Python programming language integrated with the Scikit-learn library and implemented via the Jupyter environment, a random forest prediction model was developed. The dataset was partitioned into training and validation sets at a 3 : 1 ratio, followed by model training and evaluation to assess predictive performance. Results: The incidence rate of adverse nursing events was 0.352%. Random forest analysis revealed that the patient's fall risk score, Barthel index, and months of clinical experience among newly recruited nurses exhibited the higher variable importance. Additional influencing factors included patient age, department, shift time, nurse qualification level, patient compliance, nurse decision-making capability, and hospital ward area. The model achieved an accuracy of 74.7%, a recall rate of 75%, an F1 score of 72%, and an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.89. Conclusions: The application of the random forest algorithm in analyzing critical risk factors enables targeted early warning strategies. It way offer valuable insights for the prevention and management of adverse nursing events. This approach also provides a pathway for advancing high-quality productivity in nursing practice.
      pubtype: Academic Journal
      doctype:
        research
        tables/charts
        Journal Article
      ougenre: Article
    language: Chinese
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