The challenges of surveying in war zones: Lessons from Ukraine.

Conflict scholars commonly employ public opinion surveys to understand the causes and consequences of violence. However, surveying in wartime presents a distinctive set of challenges. We examine two challenges facing polling in countries at war: under-coverage of national samples and response bias....

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Publicado en:Journal of Peace Research Vol. 62; no. 6; pp. 2128 - 2136
Autores principales: Rickard, Kit, Toal, Gerard, Bakke, Kristin M, O'Loughlin, John
Formato: Artículo
Publicado: Oxford University Press / USA Nov2025
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Acceso en línea:Ver este registro en EBSCOhost
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      dt: Nov2025
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      pub: Oxford University Press / USA
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        atl: The challenges of surveying in war zones: Lessons from Ukraine.
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        au:
          Rickard, Kit
          Toal, Gerard
          Bakke, Kristin M
          O'Loughlin, John
        affil:
          Centre for Security Studies, ETH Zürich, Switzerland
          School of Public and International Affairs, Virginia Tech, Arlignton, VA, USA
          Peace Research Institute Oslo, Norway
          Department of Political Science, University College London, UK
          Institute of Behavioral Science, University of Colorado-Boulder, Boulder, CO, USA
      su:
        Ukraine
        Russia
        Political attitudes
        Public opinion polls
        Nonprobability sampling
        Political affiliation
        Russian invasion of Ukraine, 2022-
        Sampling (Process)
        Response styles (Examinations)
      sug:
        subj:
          Political attitudes
          Public opinion polls
          Nonprobability sampling
          Political affiliation
          Ukraine
          Russia
          Political Organizations
          Marketing Research and Public Opinion Polling
          Russian invasion of Ukraine, 2022-
          Sampling (Process)
          Response styles (Examinations)
      keyword:
        public opinion
        survey methods
        War
        public opinion
        survey methods
        War
      ab: Conflict scholars commonly employ public opinion surveys to understand the causes and consequences of violence. However, surveying in wartime presents a distinctive set of challenges. We examine two challenges facing polling in countries at war: under-coverage of national samples and response bias. Although these issues are acknowledged in the literature on surveying methods, they become significantly more pronounced in war zones due to the geographic clustering of violence and the heightened sensitivity surrounding certain opinions. We illustrate these challenges in the context of the ongoing Russia–Ukraine war, drawing on original panel survey data tracing the attitudes of the same people in Ukraine prior to and after Russia's full-scale invasion in 2022. We show that unit and item non-response bias in surveys conducted during the war are related to respondents' political orientation, particularly their support for NATO membership measured in 2019. We conclude with lessons for those employing survey methods in wartime, and point to steps forward, in Ukraine and beyond.
      pubtype: Academic Journal
      doctype: Article
      src: R
    language: English
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