Exposure to Artificial Intelligence and Occupational Mobility: A Cross-Country Analysis.

We document historical patterns of workers' transitions across occupations and over the life-cycle for different levels of exposure and complementarity to Artificial Intelligence (AI) in Brazil and the UK. In both countries, college-educated workers frequently move from high-exposure, low-complement...

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Publicado en:Economía Vol. 24; no. 1; pp. 314 - 340
Autores principales: Cazzaniga, Mauro, Pizzinelli, Carlo, Rockall, Emma, Tavares, Marina M.
Formato: Artículo
Publicado: London School of Economics & Political Science 2025
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Acceso en línea:Ver este registro en EBSCOhost
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        atl: Exposure to Artificial Intelligence and Occupational Mobility: A Cross-Country Analysis.
      aug:
        au:
          Cazzaniga, Mauro
          Pizzinelli, Carlo
          Rockall, Emma
          Tavares, Marina M.
        affil:
          MIT Sloan, United States
          IMF, United States
          Stanford University, United States
      su:
        United Kingdom
        Brazil
        Artificial intelligence
        Occupational mobility
        Income inequality
        Higher education
        Labor market
        Career development
        Countries
        Comparative studies
      sug:
        subj:
          Artificial intelligence
          Occupational mobility
          Income inequality
          Higher education
          Labor market
          Career development
          United Kingdom
          Brazil
          Professional and Management Development Training
          Vocational Rehabilitation Services
          Countries
          Comparative studies
      keyword:
        Artificial Intelligence
        Emerging Markets
        Employment
        Occupations
        Artificial Intelligence
        Emerging Markets
        Employment
        Occupations
      ab: We document historical patterns of workers' transitions across occupations and over the life-cycle for different levels of exposure and complementarity to Artificial Intelligence (AI) in Brazil and the UK. In both countries, college-educated workers frequently move from high-exposure, low-complementarity occupations (those more likely to be negatively affected by AI) to high-exposure, high-complementarity ones (those more likely to be positively affected by AI). This transition is especially common for young college-educated workers and is associated with an increase in average salaries. Young, highly educated workers thus represent the demographic group for which AI-driven structural change could most expand opportunities for career progression, but also highly disrupt entry into the labor market by removing stepping-stone jobs. These similar patterns of "upward" labor market transitions for college-educated workers suggest that the impact of AI adoption on the highly educated labor force could be similar across advanced economies and emerging markets. Meanwhile, non-college workers in Brazil face markedly higher chances of moving from better-paid high-exposure and low-complementarity occupations to low-exposure ones, suggesting a higher risk of income loss if AI were to reduce labor demand for the former type of jobs.
      pubtype: Academic Journal
      doctype: Article
      src: R
    language: English
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