Association between short-term heat exposure and herpangina incidence in Japan: a nationwide space-time-stratified case-crossover study.

This study aims to quantify the impact of ambient temperature on the risk of herpangina in Japan. We compiled weekly time-series data on the incidence of herpangina and meteorological factors in all 47 Japanese prefectures (2005–2019). A space-time-stratified case-crossover design, combined with a d...

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Publicado en:International Journal of Environmental Health Research Vol. 36; no. 3; pp. 405 - 411
Autor principal: Wagatsuma, Keita
Formato: research tables/charts Journal Article
Publicado: Taylor & Francis Ltd Mar2026
Acceso en línea:Ver este registro en EBSCOhost
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      dt: Mar2026
      vid: 36
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      pub: Taylor & Francis Ltd
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        10.1080/09603123.2025.2524041
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        atl: Association between short-term heat exposure and herpangina incidence in Japan: a nationwide space-time-stratified case-crossover study.
      aug:
        au: Wagatsuma, Keita
        affil: Division of International Health (Public Health), Graduate School of Medical and Dental Sciences, Niigata University, Niigata, Japan
      sug:
        subj:
          Heat Exhaustion Complications
          Coxsackievirus Infections Epidemiology
          Risk Assessment
          Human
          Japan
          Time Series
          Crossover Design
          Poisson Distribution
          Two-Tailed Test
          Descriptive Statistics
          Data Analysis Software
          Confidence Intervals
          Multivariate Analysis
          Coxsackievirus Infections Risk Factors
      ab: This study aims to quantify the impact of ambient temperature on the risk of herpangina in Japan. We compiled weekly time-series data on the incidence of herpangina and meteorological factors in all 47 Japanese prefectures (2005–2019). A space-time-stratified case-crossover design, combined with a distributed lag nonlinear model, was employed to estimate the relative risk (RR) of heat exposure across prefectures. A multivariate meta-analysis was conducted to obtain pooled estimates at the national level. Our analysis revealed a nonlinear, inverted U-shaped association between ambient temperature and the incidence of herpangina at the national level in Japan. Peak risk occurred at 24.3 °C, with an RR of 8.65 (95% confidence interval: 6.32–11.84) relative to the minimal risk. This association was predominantly driven by the immediate effects of high temperatures, with the risk persisting for up to four weeks. Our assessment demonstrates that high temperatures increase the risk of herpangina, highlighting the need for targeted preventive measures to mitigate the health impacts of global warming.
      pubtype: Academic Journal
      doctype:
        research
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      ougenre: Article
    language: English
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