Demand Shocks as Technology Shocks.

We provide a macroeconomic theory where demand for goods has a productive role. A search friction prevents perfect matching between producers and potential customers. Larger demand induces more search, which, in turn, increases GDP and measured total factor productivity (TFP). We embed the product-m...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Publicado en:Review of Economic Studies Vol. 93; no. 2; pp. 798 - 833
Autores principales: Bai, Yan, Ríos-Rull, José-Víctor, Storesletten, Kjetil
Formato: Artículo
Publicado: Oxford University Press / USA Mar2026
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Acceso en línea:Ver este registro en EBSCOhost
Descripción
Sumario:We provide a macroeconomic theory where demand for goods has a productive role. A search friction prevents perfect matching between producers and potential customers. Larger demand induces more search, which, in turn, increases GDP and measured total factor productivity (TFP). We embed the product-market friction in a standard neoclassical model and estimate it using Bayesian techniques. Business cycles are driven by preference shocks, true technology shocks, and investment-specific shocks. Preference shocks have qualitatively similar effects as true productivity shocks. These shocks account for a large share of the fluctuations in consumption, GDP, and measured TFP and can be identified using shopping time data.