Overconfidence and Prejudice.

We develop a model of multi-dimensional misspecified learning in which an overconfident agent learns about groups in society from observations of his and others' successes. We show that the average person sees his group relative to other groups too positively, and this in-group bias exhibits systema...

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Publicado en:Review of Economic Studies Vol. 93; no. 2; pp. 968 - 1001
Autores principales: Heidhues, Paul, Kőszegi, Botond, Strack, Philipp
Formato: Artículo
Publicado: Oxford University Press / USA Mar2026
Materias:
Acceso en línea:Ver este registro en EBSCOhost
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      dt: Mar2026
      vid: 93
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      pub: Oxford University Press / USA
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        10.1093/restud/rdaf048
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        atl: Overconfidence and Prejudice.
      aug:
        au:
          Heidhues, Paul
          Kőszegi, Botond
          Strack, Philipp
        affil:
          DICE, Heinrich-Heine University Düsseldorf, Germany
          University of Bonn, Germany
          Yale University, USA
      su:
        Prejudices
        Ingroups (Social groups)
        Learning
        Socioeconomic factors
        Social contact
        Pride & vanity
        Social groups
      sug:
        subj:
          Prejudices
          Ingroups (Social groups)
          Learning
          Socioeconomic factors
          Social contact
          Pride & vanity
          Social groups
      keyword:
        Beliefs
        copyrightHolder:Review of Economic Studies Ltd
        copyrightYear:2026
        inLanguage:en
        Inter-group beliefs
        Misspecified learning
        Overconfidence
        Prejudice
        publisher:Oxford University Press
        sameAs:https://dx.doi.org/10.1093/restud/rdaf048
        Beliefs
        copyrightHolder:Review of Economic Studies Ltd
        copyrightYear:2026
        inLanguage:en
        Inter-group beliefs
        Misspecified learning
        Overconfidence
        Prejudice
        publisher:Oxford University Press
        sameAs:https://dx.doi.org/10.1093/restud/rdaf048
      ab: We develop a model of multi-dimensional misspecified learning in which an overconfident agent learns about groups in society from observations of his and others' successes. We show that the average person sees his group relative to other groups too positively, and this in-group bias exhibits systematic comparative-statics patterns. First, a person is most likely to have negative opinions about other groups he competes with. Second, while information about another group's achievements does not lower a person's prejudice, information about economic or social forces affecting the group can, and personal contact with group members has a beneficial effect that is larger than in classical settings. Third, the agent's beliefs are subject to "bias substitution", whereby forces that decrease his bias regarding one group tend to increase his biases regarding unrelated other groups.
      pubtype: Academic Journal
      doctype: Article
      src: R
    language: English
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