When to Go? A Conjoint Experiment on Social Networks, Violence, and Forced Migration Decisions in Eastern and Southeastern Turkey.

How do heterogeneous patterns of violence affect people's decision to flee? We provide individual-level evidence on flight decision-making in light of violence with a conjoint experiment in Turkey. The results suggest that intense indiscriminate violence nearby forces individuals into the decision t...

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Published in:International Studies Quarterly Vol. 67; no. 2; pp. 1 - 12
Main Authors: Turkoglu, Oguzhan, Weber, Sigrid
Format: Article
Published: Oxford University Press / USA Jun2023
Subjects:
Online Access:View this record in EBSCOhost
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      dt: Jun2023
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        atl: When to Go? A Conjoint Experiment on Social Networks, Violence, and Forced Migration Decisions in Eastern and Southeastern Turkey.
      aug:
        au:
          Turkoglu, Oguzhan
          Weber, Sigrid
        affil:
          Hertie School, Germany
          University College London, UK
      su:
        Türkiye
        Eastern Türkiye
        Forced migration
        Violence
        Paramilitary forces
        State-sponsored terrorism
        Social networks
        Discrete choice models
      sug:
        subj:
          Forced migration
          Violence
          Paramilitary forces
          State-sponsored terrorism
          Social networks
          Türkiye
          Eastern Türkiye
          Other Individual and Family Services
          Discrete choice models
      ab: How do heterogeneous patterns of violence affect people's decision to flee? We provide individual-level evidence on flight decision-making in light of violence with a conjoint experiment in Turkey. The results suggest that intense indiscriminate violence nearby forces individuals into the decision to leave. In contrast to previous studies, we find that the fear of repeated violence plays a more important role in flight decision-making than the attack frequency. The survey experiment reveals that violence committed by the government makes a decision to flee abroad more likely than rebel violence. We find that individuals with support networks abroad are less responsive to patterns of violence, making flight decisions more independently and being generally more inclined to move. Our findings contribute to the growing literature on forced migration with individual-level evidence on the decision-making process underlying flight reactions to violence.
      pubtype: Academic Journal
      doctype: Article
      src: R
    language: English
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