Age- and sex-specific muscle health cut-offs improve prognostic accuracy in older patients with heart failure: a secondary analysis of a nationwide, multicenter cohort registry.

Aims Universal muscle health cut-offs for older patients with heart failure often overlook age- and sex-specific biological heterogeneity, potentially compromising prognostic accuracy. We aimed to develop and validate age- and sex-specific cut-off values for muscle health metrics to enhance prognost...

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Publicado en:Age & Ageing Vol. 55; no. 2; pp. 1 - 12
Autores principales: Miki, Yasuhiro, Katano, Satoshi, Nakagama, Takashi, Iwata, Kentaro, Kono, Yuji, Sakurada, Koji, Morisawa, Tomoyuki, Kamiya, Kentaro, Takahashi, Tetsuya
Formato: Artículo
Publicado: Oxford University Press / USA Feb2026
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Acceso en línea:Ver este registro en EBSCOhost
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      dt: Feb2026
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      pub: Oxford University Press / USA
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        10.1093/ageing/afag034
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        atl: Age- and sex-specific muscle health cut-offs improve prognostic accuracy in older patients with heart failure: a secondary analysis of a nationwide, multicenter cohort registry.
      aug:
        au:
          Miki, Yasuhiro
          Katano, Satoshi
          Nakagama, Takashi
          Iwata, Kentaro
          Kono, Yuji
          Sakurada, Koji
          Morisawa, Tomoyuki
          Kamiya, Kentaro
          Takahashi, Tetsuya
        affil: Committee of the J-Proof HF Registry, Japanese Society of Cardiovascular Physical Therapy, Tokyo, Japan
      su:
        Japan
        Sex distribution
        Age distribution
        Hospital care of older people
        Old age
        Hand physiology
        Mortality risk factors
        Reference values
        Risk assessment
        Predictive tests
        Skeletal muscle
        Secondary analysis
        Data analysis
        Receiver operating characteristic curves
        Research evaluation
        Heart failure
        Reporting of diseases
        Longitudinal method
        Kaplan-Meier estimator
        Log-rank test
        Geriatric assessment
        Research
        Research methodology
        Statistics
        Comparative studies
        Walking speed
        Individualized medicine
        Data analysis software
        Sarcopenia
        Sensitivity & specificity (Statistics)
        Grip strength
        Proportional hazards models
        Evaluation
      sug:
        subj:
          Sex distribution
          Age distribution
          Hospital care of older people
          Old age
          Japan
          Hand physiology
          Mortality risk factors
          Reference values
          Risk assessment
          Predictive tests
          Skeletal muscle
          Secondary analysis
          Data analysis
          Receiver operating characteristic curves
          Research evaluation
          Heart failure
          Reporting of diseases
          Longitudinal method
          Kaplan-Meier estimator
          Log-rank test
          Geriatric assessment
          Research
          Research methodology
          Statistics
          Comparative studies
          Walking speed
          Individualized medicine
          Data analysis software
          Sarcopenia
          Sensitivity & specificity (Statistics)
          Grip strength
          Proportional hazards models
          Evaluation
      keyword:
        copyrightHolder:British Geriatrics Society
        copyrightYear:2026
        demography
        heart failure
        https://dx.doi.org/10.1093/ageing/afag034
        inLanguage:en
        mortality
        muscle health metrics
        older adult
        older people
        patient prognosis
        physical therapy
        publisher:Oxford University Press
        sameAs:https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/41719426/
        secondary data analysis
        short physical performance battery
        stratification
        walking speed
        copyrightHolder:British Geriatrics Society
        copyrightYear:2026
        demography
        heart failure
        https://dx.doi.org/10.1093/ageing/afag034
        inLanguage:en
        mortality
        muscle health metrics
        older adult
        older people
        patient prognosis
        physical therapy
        publisher:Oxford University Press
        sameAs:https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/41719426/
        secondary data analysis
        short physical performance battery
        stratification
        walking speed
      ab: Aims Universal muscle health cut-offs for older patients with heart failure often overlook age- and sex-specific biological heterogeneity, potentially compromising prognostic accuracy. We aimed to develop and validate age- and sex-specific cut-off values for muscle health metrics to enhance prognostic performance. Methods and results From a nationwide, multicenter cohort registry, 9693 patients aged ≥65 years hospitalised for heart failure were analysed. We assessed five muscle health metrics (arm and calf circumference, handgrip strength, gait speed and Short Physical Performance Battery) and derived age- and sex-specific cut-off values for predicting 1-year all-cause mortality across three age groups (65–74, 75–84, 85+ years). Age- and sex-specific thresholds varied substantially across demographics (e.g. handgrip strength: 24.5–19.6 kg in men and 16.6–11.6 kg in women from the youngest to the oldest group) and showed robust prognostic associations with mortality (adjusted hazard ratio: 1.44–3.25, all P  < .001). Importantly, age- and sex-specific cut-offs consistently outperformed fixed criteria by Asian Working Group for Sarcopenia in 2019, evidenced by substantial improvements in Akaike information criterion that ranged from 8.1 to 119.4, continuous net reclassification improvement (0.050 to 0.342), and integrated discrimination improvement (0.002 to 0.023) across four metrics. Conclusion Age- and sex-specific muscle health thresholds offer superior prognostic accuracy over universal fixed values in older patients with heart failure, evidenced by substantial improvements in model fit, reclassification and discrimination. This individualised approach enables more precise risk stratification and supports the transition toward personalised assessment in geriatric heart failure care. Data source registration University Hospital Medical Information Network Clinical Trials Registry, URL: https://center6.umin.ac.jp/cgi-open-bin/ctr/ctr%5fview.cgi?recptno=R000054579 , Registration number: UMIN000047893.
      pubtype: Academic Journal
      doctype: Article
      src: R
    language: English
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