Grassroots lobbying in Germany: Are moderately and greatly supported public petitions effective?

This paper investigates the effectiveness of a grassroots lobbying technique—public petitions—in Germany, applying the costly signaling theory and the economic theory of political information. I analyzed public petitions with at least 1,000 signatures, addressed by the Bundestag during its 19th term...

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Published in:Parliamentary Affairs Vol. 79; no. 2; pp. 353 - 380
Main Author: Olejnik, Maciej
Format: Article
Published: Oxford University Press / USA Apr2026
Subjects:
Online Access:View this record in EBSCOhost
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      dt: Apr2026
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      pub: Oxford University Press / USA
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        10.1093/pa/gsaf035
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        atl: Grassroots lobbying in Germany: Are moderately and greatly supported public petitions effective?
      aug:
        au: Olejnik, Maciej
        affil: Willy Brandt Centre for German and European Studies, University of Wrocław, Strażnicza 1-3 Street, Wrocław 50-206, Poland
      su:
        Germany
        Germany. Bundestag
        Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands (Political party : Germany)
        Social advocacy
        Petitions
        Political endorsements
        Information theory in economics
        Political system efficacy
      sug:
        subj:
          Social advocacy
          Germany
          Germany. Bundestag
          Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands (Political party : Germany)
          Other Social Advocacy Organizations
          Social advocacy organizations
          Human Rights Organizations
          Petitions
          Political endorsements
          Information theory in economics
          Political system efficacy
      keyword:
        Bundestag
        copyrightHolder:Hansard Society
        copyrightYear:2026
        grassroots lobbying
        inLanguage:en
        public petitions
        publisher:Oxford University Press
        sameAs:https://dx.doi.org/10.1093/pa/gsaf035
        the costly signaling theory
        the economic theory of political information
        Bundestag
        copyrightHolder:Hansard Society
        copyrightYear:2026
        grassroots lobbying
        inLanguage:en
        public petitions
        publisher:Oxford University Press
        sameAs:https://dx.doi.org/10.1093/pa/gsaf035
        the costly signaling theory
        the economic theory of political information
      ab: This paper investigates the effectiveness of a grassroots lobbying technique—public petitions—in Germany, applying the costly signaling theory and the economic theory of political information. I analyzed public petitions with at least 1,000 signatures, addressed by the Bundestag during its 19th term (2017–2021), and assessed the petitions' issue salience for the ruling parties, CDU/CSU and SPD. The findings reveal that public petitions can be an effective grassroots lobbying technique, with 31% of them being fulfilled. The ruling parties' endorsement of the issues raised in the petitions was a key factor in determining their effectiveness. Petitions addressing issues supported by both ruling parties were significantly more effective than those on issues opposed or ambiguously received by at least one ruling party. The study provides evidence supporting two key aspects of the economic theory of political information. First, the probability of fulfillment for petitions on higher salience issues supported by the ruling parties does not significantly differ between those with a large number of signatures (at least 50,000) and those with a moderate number (1,000 to 49,999). Moderately popular petitions on higher salience issues endorsed by CDU/CSU and SPD are nearly as effective as their more popular counterparts. Second, the probability of fulfillment for higher salience petitions opposed by the ruling parties also does not significantly differ between greatly and moderately popular petitions, as both were equally ineffective. Conversely, the study finds no strong support for the economic theory of political information's assumption that moderately popular petitions on lower party salience issues should be more effective than greatly popular ones. In contrast, an in-depth analysis using a logistic regression model shows that the level of public support does not significantly impact the petitions' effectiveness. This finding suggests that the costly signaling theory lacks explanatory power in the context of public petition effectiveness in Germany.
      pubtype: Academic Journal
      doctype: Article
      src: R
    language: English
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