Measuring electoral democracy with observables.

Most cross‐national indices of democracy rely centrally on coder judgments, which are susceptible to bias and error, and require expensive and time‐consuming coding by experts. We present an approach to measurement based on observables that aim to preserve the nuanced quality of subjectively coded d...

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Publicado en:American Journal of Political Science (John Wiley & Sons, Inc.) Vol. 70; no. 2; pp. 606 - 623
Autores principales: Weitzel, Daniel, Gerring, John, Pemstein, Daniel, Skaaning, Svend‐Erik
Formato: Artículo
Publicado: John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Apr2026
Materias:
Acceso en línea:Ver este registro en EBSCOhost
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      dt: Apr2026
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      pub: John Wiley & Sons, Inc.
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        atl: Measuring electoral democracy with observables.
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        au:
          Weitzel, Daniel
          Gerring, John
          Pemstein, Daniel
          Skaaning, Svend‐Erik
        affil:
          Department of Political Science, Colorado State University, Fort Collins Colorado,, USA
          Department of Government, University of Texas at Austin, Austin Texas,, USA
          Department of Political Science and Public Policy, North Dakota State University, Fargo North Dakota,, USA
          Department of Political Science, Aarhus University, Aarhus, Denmark
      su:
        Measurement
        Random forest algorithms
        Empirical research
        Democracy
        Index numbers (Economics)
      sug:
        subj:
          Measurement
          Random forest algorithms
          Empirical research
          Democracy
          Index numbers (Economics)
      ab: Most cross‐national indices of democracy rely centrally on coder judgments, which are susceptible to bias and error, and require expensive and time‐consuming coding by experts. We present an approach to measurement based on observables that aim to preserve the nuanced quality of subjectively coded democracy indices. Our observable‐to‐subjective score mapping is free of idiosyncratic coder errors arising from misinformation, slack, or biases. It is less susceptible to systematic bias that may arise from coders' inferences about a country's regime, for example, from the ideology of the ruler. The data collection procedure and mode of analysis are fully transparent and replicable, and the procedure is based on random forests and is cheap to produce, easy to update, and offers coverage for all polities with sovereign or semisovereign status, surpassing the sample of any existing index. We show that this expansive coverage makes a big difference to our understanding of some causal questions.
      pubtype: Academic Journal
      doctype: Article
      src: R
    language: English
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