Mano Dura v. Uneasy Peace in El Salvador: Effects of Tough-on-Crime and Gang Truce Policies in the Former Murder Capital of the World.

Until recently, El Salvador had one of the world's highest homicide rates, largely driven by criminal groups. Since 2003, the government attempted to reduce violence through mano dura policies and gang truces. Mano dura involves aggressive enforcement, harsh punishments and authoritarian measures, w...

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Publicado en:British Journal of Criminology Vol. 66; no. 3; pp. 613 - 632
Autores principales: Escaño, Guillermo Jesús, McDowall, David, Pridemore, William Alex
Formato: Artículo
Publicado: Oxford University Press / USA May2026
Materias:
Acceso en línea:Ver este registro en EBSCOhost
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        atl: Mano Dura v. Uneasy Peace in El Salvador: Effects of Tough-on-Crime and Gang Truce Policies in the Former Murder Capital of the World.
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          Escaño, Guillermo Jesús
          McDowall, David
          Pridemore, William Alex
        affil:
          Department of Sociology and Criminology, Villanova University, Villanova, PA 19085, USA
          School of Criminal Justice, University at Albany – State University of New York, Albany, NY 12222, USA
          Department of Sociology, University of Georgia, Athens, GA 30602, USA
      su:
        El Salvador
        Homicide rates
        Public safety
        Criminal justice policy
        Criminal law
        Violence prevention
        Armistices
        Time series analysis
        Countries
      sug:
        subj:
          Homicide rates
          Public safety
          Criminal justice policy
          Criminal law
          El Salvador
          Violence prevention
          Armistices
          Time series analysis
          Countries
      keyword:
        copyrightHolder:Centre for Crime and Justice Studies (formerly ISTD)
        copyrightYear:2026
        criminal groups
        gang truce
        homicide
        inLanguage:en
        mano dura
        maras
        publisher:Oxford University Press
        sameAs:https://dx.doi.org/10.1093/bjc/azaf057
        copyrightHolder:Centre for Crime and Justice Studies (formerly ISTD)
        copyrightYear:2026
        criminal groups
        gang truce
        homicide
        inLanguage:en
        mano dura
        maras
        publisher:Oxford University Press
        sameAs:https://dx.doi.org/10.1093/bjc/azaf057
      ab: Until recently, El Salvador had one of the world's highest homicide rates, largely driven by criminal groups. Since 2003, the government attempted to reduce violence through mano dura policies and gang truces. Mano dura involves aggressive enforcement, harsh punishments and authoritarian measures, while truces rely on negotiations between gangs, state actors, and civil society. Analysing nation-month data for 2003–22 with autoregressive integrated moving average time-series methods, we found mano dura significantly increased violence. Monthly homicides were 54 per cent higher during mano dura than truce periods, with 17,767 homicides attributable to mano dura. These findings are robust across analyses and highlight the iatrogenic effects of repressive policies compared to the relative success of truce-based approaches.
      pubtype: Academic Journal
      doctype: Article
      src: R
    language: English
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