Unemployment insurance and self-fulfilling business cycles.

We study the macroeconomic role of unemployment insurance in an economy with job search, labor force participation decisions, and involuntary unemployment. The framework allows labor market distortions to vary endogenously over the business cycle and, under certain conditions, to amplify economic fl...

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Publicado en:Oxford Economic Papers Vol. 78; no. 2; pp. 410 - 437
Autores principales: Kokonas, Nikolaos, Monteiro, Paulo Santos
Formato: Artículo
Publicado: Oxford University Press / USA Apr2026
Materias:
Acceso en línea:Ver este registro en EBSCOhost
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          Kokonas, Nikolaos
          Monteiro, Paulo Santos
        affil:
          Department of Economics, University of Bath, Claverton Down, Bath, BA2 7AY, United Kingdom
          Department of Economics, University of York, Heslington, York, YO10 5DD, United Kingdom
      su:
        Business cycles
        Labor market
        Macroeconomics
        Labor supply
        Unemployment insurance
      sug:
        subj:
          Business cycles
          Labor market
          Macroeconomics
          Labor supply
          Temporary Help Services
          Unemployment insurance
      keyword:
        copyrightHolder:Oxford University Press
        copyrightYear:2026
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        indeterminacy
        inLanguage:en
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        labor wedge
        publisher:Oxford University Press
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        unemployment insurance
        copyrightHolder:Oxford University Press
        copyrightYear:2026
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        indeterminacy
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        unemployment insurance
      ab: We study the macroeconomic role of unemployment insurance in an economy with job search, labor force participation decisions, and involuntary unemployment. The framework allows labor market distortions to vary endogenously over the business cycle and, under certain conditions, to amplify economic fluctuations. We show that unemployment insurance can reduce the scope for such destabilizing dynamics and thereby act as an effective automatic stabilizer. Quantitative analysis indicates that while these dynamics may arise at unemployment benefit levels comparable to those observed in North America, they are unlikely at the higher replacement rates typical of European countries. Overall, our results suggest that unemployment insurance not only provides social insurance but can also contribute to macroeconomic stability, with important implications for the design of labor market policies over the business cycle.
      pubtype: Academic Journal
      doctype: Article
      src: R
    language: English
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