| Sumario: | Background Previous studies have modelled long-term cost-effectiveness of dementia prevention but seldom within trials. APPLE-Tree (Active Prevention in People at risk of dementia through Lifestyle, bEhaviour change and Technology to build REsiliEnce) is a personalised, multi-domain, low-intensity dementia prevention intervention for adults experiencing subjective cognitive decline or mild cognitive impairment. Intervention receipt, relative to control, was associated with an adjusted mean difference of 0.06 (95%CI −0.001 to −0.128) in the Neuropsychological Test Battery (NTB). We evaluated cost-effectiveness from health- and social-care perspectives over 2 years. Methods We recruited 746 older adults from English health and community settings and randomly assigned them (1:1) to APPLE-Tree plus usual care (UC) or UC plus written dementia prevention information. Quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) were calculated from the EQ-5D-5L. Over 24-months, intention-to-treat analyses compared QALYs (primary) and incremental cost per NTB unit (one z-score) change (secondary). Results Between October 2020 and December 2022, 374 participants were randomised to intervention and 372 to control. Mean adjusted QALYs were 1.511 (intervention) and 1.520 (control), an adjusted difference of −0.010 (95%CI −0.04 to −0.022). Mean adjusted (SD) costs were £2966 (3629) and £2551 (4439), respectively. Cost per 1-point NTB change z-score was £6809. At a £30 000 threshold, the probability of cost-effective was 12% and 96% based on QALYs and cognition, respectively. Post hoc analyses indicated higher cost-effectiveness for non-White participants (incremental costs: £374; 95%CI −590.751 to −1338.515) and socioeconomically disadvantaged participants (non-homeowners), who had higher QALYs (0.106) and lower costs (−£1830), yielding a 98% probability of cost-effectiveness at a £20 000 threshold. Conclusion APPLE-Tree has a high probability of being cost-effective for a 1-point NTB gain, a difference previously associated with a three-fold reduction in 5-year dementia risk. QALY-based cost-effectiveness was not observed, but post-hoc analyses suggested it may be more effective in groups with greater needs. Findings highlight the potential of targeted, lower-intensity interventions to reduce dementia risk. Longer-term follow-up is required to determine whether cost-effectiveness is realised over time.
|
|---|