Shifting Seasonal Pattern of Type 1 Diabetes Diagnosis and Diabetic Ketoacidosis at Diagnosis Towards Warm Seasons in Children and Adolescents During 2011-2020: A Single Center Experience in Iran.

Background: The seasonality of type 1 diabetes and diabetic ketoacidosis at diagnosis have been reported in most areas of the world, but there are few reports from north of Iran. Objectives: Considering the connection between type 1 diabetes mellitus (T1DM) diagnosis and environmental influences, th...

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Publicado en:Journal of Pediatrics Review Vol. 14; no. 2; pp. 163 - 176
Autores principales: Ghazaiean, Mobin, Najafi, Behnam, Zamanfar, Daniel
Formato: research tables/charts Journal Article
Publicado: Mazandaran University of Medical Sciences Apr2026
Acceso en línea:Ver este registro en EBSCOhost
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      jtl: Journal of Pediatrics Review
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      dt: Apr2026
      vid: 14
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      pub: Mazandaran University of Medical Sciences
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        10.32598/jpr.14.2.1073.4
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      tig:
        atl: Shifting Seasonal Pattern of Type 1 Diabetes Diagnosis and Diabetic Ketoacidosis at Diagnosis Towards Warm Seasons in Children and Adolescents During 2011-2020: A Single Center Experience in Iran.
      aug:
        au:
          Ghazaiean, Mobin
          Najafi, Behnam
          Zamanfar, Daniel
        affil: Student Research Committee, Faculty of Medicine, Mazandaran University of Medical Sciences, Sari, Iran
      sug:
        subj:
          Diabetes Mellitus, Type 1 Diagnosis
          Diabetes Mellitus, Type 1 Diagnosis
          Diabetic Ketoacidosis Diagnosis
          Diabetic Ketoacidosis Diagnosis
          Diabetes Mellitus, Type 1 Trends
          Diabetic Ketoacidosis Trends
          Seasons Iran
          Age Factors
          Sex Factors
          Human
          Male
          Female
          Infant, Newborn
          Infant
          Child, Preschool
          Child
          Adolescence
          Iran
          Retrospective Design
          Medical Records
          Record Review
          Comparative Studies
          Interviews
          Hospitals, Pediatric
          Mann-Whitney U Test
          Kendall's tau
          Trend Studies
          Chi Square Test
          Fisher's Exact Test
          T-Tests
          Descriptive Statistics
          Data Analysis Software
          Confidence Intervals
          Climate Change
          Life Style Changes
          Infant, Newborn: birth-1 month
          Infant: 1-23 months
          Child, Preschool: 2-5 years
          Child: 6-12 years
          Adolescent: 13-18 years
          Male
          Female
      ab: Background: The seasonality of type 1 diabetes and diabetic ketoacidosis at diagnosis have been reported in most areas of the world, but there are few reports from north of Iran. Objectives: Considering the connection between type 1 diabetes mellitus (T1DM) diagnosis and environmental influences, this study aimed to evaluate the seasonal trends of T1DM and diabetic ketoacidosis (DKA) at the time of diagnosis over a 10-year period. Methods: In a retrospective study spanning two 5-year periods, 221 pediatric patients with T1DM were analyzed. They were categorized into two groups: Group 1 comprised those diagnosed from 2011 to 2015, while group 2 consisted of patients diagnosed from 2016 to 2020 (pre-COVID-19 quarantine). Changes in type 1 diabetes onset and DKA at diagnosis were assessed using Mann-Kendall trend test. Monthly and seasonal variation of type 1 diabetes and DKA at diagnosis were assessed over a 10-year period comparing two 5-year intervals. The data were analyzed using STATA software, version 17. Results: Of the 221 individuals, 101(45.7%) and 120(54.3%) patients were diagnosed in group 1 and 2, respectively. The Mann-Kendall trend test revealed significant changes in both T1DM onset and DKA at diagnosis over the period 2011-2020 (tau=0.6138, P=0.0191) and (tau=0.582, P=0.0287), respectively. The increase in T1DM onset occurred in spring and June during the second period. The mean age at diagnosis was 7.2±4 years, with group 1 (6.63, 95% CI, 5.75%, 7.51%) being younger than group 2 (7.58, 95% CI, 6.83%, 8.33%). The frequency of adolescent patients significantly increased in the group 2 compared to group 1 (71.2% vs 28.8%, P=0.04). In both periods, there was a predominance of female sex, and the seasonal pattern of female sex shifted towards spring and summer in group 2. The frequency of DKA at presentation was 37.1% (95% CI, 30.9%, 43.7%) over a ten-year period, with 32.7% (95% CI, 24.2%, 42.4%) in group 1 and 41% (95% CI, 32.4%, 50%) in group 2 (P=0.35). An analysis of the seasonal pattern of initial presentations with DKA indicates that group 1 patients exhibited the highest rate of DKA in the summer and autumn, with the lowest rate in the spring. Meanwhile, group 2 patients displayed that DKA at diagnosis was highest in summer and lowest in autumn. Conclusions: The onset of T1DM and DKA shows a shift toward warmer seasons.
      pubtype: Academic Journal
      doctype:
        research
        tables/charts
        Journal Article
      ougenre: Article
    language: English
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