'Groundhog day' all over again: Minimum wage research under 'thought style compulsion'.

Before the introduction of a statutory, nationwide minimum wage in Germany in 2015, labour market economics largely agreed that this 'social experiment' would come at the cost of significant job losses. However, accompanying research on the implementation of the minimum wage failed to confirm the pr...

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Publicado en:Cambridge Journal of Economics Vol. 50; no. 4; pp. 649 - 673
Autor principal: Heise, Arne
Formato: Artículo
Publicado: Oxford University Press / USA Jul2026
Materias:
Acceso en línea:Ver este registro en EBSCOhost
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      dt: Jul2026
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        atl: 'Groundhog day' all over again: Minimum wage research under 'thought style compulsion'.
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        au: Heise, Arne
        affil: University of Hamburg, Germany
      su:
        Germany
        Minimum wage
        Labor market
        Paradigm (Theory of knowledge)
        Economic research
        Philosophy of science
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          Minimum wage
          Labor market
          Germany
          Research and Development in the Social Sciences and Humanities
          Regulation, Licensing, and Inspection of Miscellaneous Commercial Sectors
          Paradigm (Theory of knowledge)
          Economic research
          Philosophy of science
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        copyrightHolder:Cambridge Political Economy Society
        copyrightYear:2026
        employment
        inLanguage:en
        labour market
        minimum wage
        publisher:Oxford University Press
        sameAs:https://dx.doi.org/10.1093/cje/beag022
        thought style
        copyrightHolder:Cambridge Political Economy Society
        copyrightYear:2026
        employment
        inLanguage:en
        labour market
        minimum wage
        publisher:Oxford University Press
        sameAs:https://dx.doi.org/10.1093/cje/beag022
        thought style
      ab: Before the introduction of a statutory, nationwide minimum wage in Germany in 2015, labour market economics largely agreed that this 'social experiment' would come at the cost of significant job losses. However, accompanying research on the implementation of the minimum wage failed to confirm the predicted employment losses. As seen in all countries where minimum wages exist and are studied, researchers had to acknowledge the 'elusiveness of employment effects' in Germany as well. This paper traces the debate surrounding the introduction of the minimum wage and analyses the scientific community's response to the discrepancy between actual employment trends and model-based forecasts—an issue that, from the perspective of the philosophy of science, can be understood as an 'anomaly' or 'crisis'. The object of inquiry is not the minimum wage itself, but the scientific conduct of economists confronted with evidence at odds with their paradigm. Drawing on Ludwik Fleck's theory of thought styles, the analysis distinguishes between two phases: the initial introduction of the minimum wage and the drastic increase in 2022. This distinction allows for an examination of both learning processes and the resilience of a prevailing paradigm.
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    language: English
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