Acute Deterioration in Long‐Term Care: A Delphi Study of Indicators, Care Pathways and Implementation Strategies.

Aim: This study aimed to develop recommendations for acceptable physical and psychological clinical indicators of acute deterioration and strategies to support sustained adoption of an approach to detecting and responding to acute deterioration in long‐term care. Background: Previous studies have tr...

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Publicado en:International Journal of Nursing Practice (John Wiley & Sons, Inc.) Vol. 32; no. 4; pp. 1 - 14
Autores principales: Parker, Christina, Sriram, Deepa, Chambers, Shirley, Schnitker, Linda, Spooner, Amy, Jack, Leanne, Yates, Patsy, Beattie, Elizabeth, MacAndrew, Margaret
Formato: critical path research tables/charts Journal Article
Publicado: John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Aug2026
Acceso en línea:Ver este registro en EBSCOhost
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      jtl: International Journal of Nursing Practice (John Wiley & Sons, Inc.)
      issn: 13227114
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      dt: Aug2026
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      pub: John Wiley & Sons, Inc.
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        atl: Acute Deterioration in Long‐Term Care: A Delphi Study of Indicators, Care Pathways and Implementation Strategies.
      aug:
        au:
          Parker, Christina
          Sriram, Deepa
          Chambers, Shirley
          Schnitker, Linda
          Spooner, Amy
          Jack, Leanne
          Yates, Patsy
          Beattie, Elizabeth
          MacAndrew, Margaret
        affil: School of Nursing, Queensland University of Technology, Brisbane Queensland,, Australia
      sug:
        subj:
          Long Term Care
          Clinical Deterioration Diagnosis
          Early Diagnosis
          Consensus
          Nursing Home Residents
          Program Implementation
          Human
          Delphi Technique
          Surveys
          Scales
          Australia
          Networking, Professional
          Clinical Nurse Specialists
          Nurse Practitioners
          Physicians, Emergency
          Registered Nurses
          Geriatricians
          Physicians, Family
          Data Analysis Software
          Funding Source
          Confusion
          Agitation
          Delusions
          Hallucinations
          Delirium
      ab: Aim: This study aimed to develop recommendations for acceptable physical and psychological clinical indicators of acute deterioration and strategies to support sustained adoption of an approach to detecting and responding to acute deterioration in long‐term care. Background: Previous studies have trialled programmes to reduce avoidable hospital transfers through early detection of acute deterioration in long‐term care. However, variability in outcomes and implementation experiences highlights differences in the essential components of these approaches. Design: Three‐round Delphi process. Methods: The Delphi process conducted between September 2022 and January 2023 included a 22‐member Australian expert panel to elicit consensus and to generate recommendations. Delphi participants were asked to rate the potential items on a 9‐point scale for level of importance (Part A), level of priority of action (Part B) and level of acceptability (Part C). The mean, standard deviation (SD) and I‐CVI of each item were calculated. Clinical indicators with mean ≥ 7, I‐CVI ≥ 0.78 were considered to have a good degree of agreement, appropriateness and relevance and were deemed acceptable for inclusion. Results: Participants completed a two‐part online survey in Round 1, and three‐part surveys in Rounds 2 and 3. Round 1, Part A included 44 clinical indicators. On completion of Round 3, 36 items remained. Care pathways in response to acute deterioration (n = 20) were included in Part B. After Round 3, 17 care pathways remained. There was agreement in Part C that communication aides, education and mentor programmes were necessary as viable strategies to support sustained adoption. Conclusion: Detecting the early warning signs of acute deterioration will have significant outcomes for residents, staff and health care services. Summary: What is already known about this topic Most older adults living in long‐term care (LTC) have complex care needs related to cognitive impairment, multiple chronic conditions, high symptom burden, poor social support and reduced quality of life.Detecting the early warning signs of acute deterioration is essential in preventing further deterioration, avoidable hospitalisation, increased disease burden and premature death. What this paper adds Items have been identified on the early signs of acute deterioration in older people living in LTCConsensus has occurred on recommendations for elements of a programme to build capacity of the LTC workforce to recognise, report and respond to the early signs of acute deterioration of residents. The implications of this paper The recommendations of early warning signs of acute deterioration in LTC in this study will inform the development of an early warning score system.The inclusion of recommendations about pathways in response to acute deterioration, and strategies to support capacity building of the workforce will ensure significant outcomes for residents, staff and health care services.
      pubtype: Academic Journal
      doctype:
        critical path
        research
        tables/charts
        Journal Article
      ougenre: Article
    language: English
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