Chance and the Patterns of Drift: A Natural Experiment.

Evolutionary models can explain the dynamics of populations, how genetic, genotypic, or phenotypic frequencies change with time. Models incorporating chance, or drift, predict specific patterns of change. These are illustrated using classic work on blood types by Cavalli-Sforza and his collaborators...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Publicado en:Philosophy of Science Vol. 73; no. 5; pp. 642 - 655
Autor principal: Richardson, Robert C.
Formato: Artículo
Publicado: Cambridge University Press Dec2006
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Acceso en línea:Ver este registro en EBSCOhost
Descripción
Sumario:Evolutionary models can explain the dynamics of populations, how genetic, genotypic, or phenotypic frequencies change with time. Models incorporating chance, or drift, predict specific patterns of change. These are illustrated using classic work on blood types by Cavalli-Sforza and his collaborators in the Parma Valley of Italy, in which the theoretically predicted patterns are exhibited in human populations. These data and the models display properties of ensembles of populations. The explanatory problem needs to be understood in terms of how likely an observed change, in either a population or an ensemble, would be under drift alone; this is fundamentally a matter of chance. Understood in this way, issues of drift and chance undercut most recent philosophical, but not biological, discussions of the role of "genetic drift."