Testability and Ockham’s Razor: How Formal and Statistical Learning Theory Converge in the New Riddle of Induction.

Nelson Goodman’s new riddle of induction forcefully illustrates a challenge that must be confronted by any adequate theory of inductive inference: provide some basis for choosing among alternative hypotheses that fit past data but make divergent predictions. One response to this challenge is to dist...

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Publicado en:Journal of Philosophical Logic Vol. 38; no. 5; pp. 471 - 490
Autor principal: Steel, Daniel
Formato: Artículo
Publicado: Springer Nature Oct2009
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Acceso en línea:Ver este registro en EBSCOhost
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        au: Steel, Daniel
        affil: Department of Philosophy, Michigan State University, 503 S. Kedzie Hall, East Lansing, MI 48823-1032, USA
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        Essays
        Riddles
        Learning theories in education
        Goodman, Nelson, 1906-1998
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          Essays
          Riddles
          Learning theories in education
          Goodman, Nelson, 1906-1998
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      keyword:
        Formal learning theory
        Goodman
        New riddle of induction
        Ockham’s razor
        Ockham's razor
        Simplicity
        Statistical learning theory
        Testability
      ab: Nelson Goodman’s new riddle of induction forcefully illustrates a challenge that must be confronted by any adequate theory of inductive inference: provide some basis for choosing among alternative hypotheses that fit past data but make divergent predictions. One response to this challenge is to distinguish among alternatives by means of some epistemically significant characteristic beyond fit with the data. Statistical learning theory takes this approach by showing how a concept similar to Popper’s notion of degrees of testability is linked to minimizing expected predictive error. In contrast, formal learning theory appeals to Ockham’s razor, which it justifies by reference to the goal of enhancing efficient convergence to the truth. In this essay, I show that, despite their differences, statistical and formal learning theory yield precisely the same result for a class of inductive problems that I call strongly VC ordered, of which Goodman’s riddle is just one example.
      pubtype: Academic Journal
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    language: English
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