Demonstrating the Undemonstrable: A Reply to Garrison and Mayhew.

In this article the authors reply back to professors Charles B. Garrison and Anne Mayhew regarding Vietnam war. A preliminary point regarding the Garrison-Mayhew approach involves their use of the GNP gap. On January 15, 1951, in the sixth month of the first year of escalation in the Korean War, the...

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Publicado en:Journal of Economic Issues Vol. 17; no. 1; pp. 186 - 197
Autores principales: Walker, John F., Vatter, Harold G.
Formato: Artículo
Publicado: Taylor & Francis Ltd Mar83
Materias:
Acceso en línea:Ver este registro en EBSCOhost
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        atl: Demonstrating the Undemonstrable: A Reply to Garrison and Mayhew.
      aug:
        au:
          Walker, John F.
          Vatter, Harold G.
        affil: Professors of Economics, Portland State University, Oregon.
      su:
        Escalation (Military science)
        Vietnam War, 1961-1975
        Price inflation
        Consumer price indexes
        Hypothesis
        Phillips curve
        Economic demand
        Taxation
        Economics
        Vietnam
      sug:
        subj:
          Vietnam
          Escalation (Military science)
          Vietnam War, 1961-1975
          Price inflation
          Consumer price indexes
          Hypothesis
          Phillips curve
          Economic demand
          Taxation
          Economics
      ab: In this article the authors reply back to professors Charles B. Garrison and Anne Mayhew regarding Vietnam war. A preliminary point regarding the Garrison-Mayhew approach involves their use of the GNP gap. On January 15, 1951, in the sixth month of the first year of escalation in the Korean War, the consumer price index (CPI) was 181.5, already 6.64 percent above its pre-escalation level of 170.2 in June 1950. In striking contrast, as of March 1966, the CPI at 112.0 was only 1.6 percent above its pre-escalation level of 110.2 six months earlier in September 1965. A prefacing central theme has to do with Garrison and Mayhew's treatment of the inflation beginning with 1968. To attribute the inflation from 1968 through 1973 overwhelmingly, as do they, to the Vietnam escalation and de-escalation, in view of the number of professionally acknowledged competing hypotheses, is nothing short of an elementary statistical error. It is quite possible to entertain for this period cost-push, administered price, monetarist, deficit-monetarist, or bottleneck hypotheses as well as excessive total demand.
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    language: English
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