Beware of samples! A cognitive-ecological sampling approach to judgment bias.
A cognitive–ecological approach to judgment biases is presented and substantiated by recent empirical evidence. Latent properties of the environment are not amenable to direct assessment but have to be inferred from empirical samples that provide the interface between cognition and the environment....
| Publicado en: | Psychological Review Vol. 107; no. 4; pp. 659 - 677 |
|---|---|
| Autor principal: | |
| Formato: | Artículo |
| Publicado: |
American Psychological Association
October 2000
|
| Materias: | |
| Acceso en línea: | Ver este registro en EBSCOhost |
| fields | @attributes: recordID: 1 pdfLink: plink: https://search.ebscohost.com/login.aspx?direct=true&db=ssf&AN=507721462&site=ehost-live header: @attributes: shortDbName: ssf uiTerm: 507721462 longDbName: Social Sciences Full Text (H.W. Wilson) uiTag: AN controlInfo: bkinfo: jinfo: jid: 0033295X PYV jtl: Psychological Review issn: 0033295X maglogo: N pubinfo: dt: October 2000 vid: 107 iid: 4 pid: 34 pub: American Psychological Association artinfo: ui: 507721462 10.1037/0033-295X.107.4.659 ppf: 659 ppct: 18 formats: tig: atl: Beware of samples! A cognitive-ecological sampling approach to judgment bias. aug: au: Fiedler, Klaus su: Human information processing Judgment (Psychology) Statistical sampling Psychological techniques Psychology -- Statistical methods sug: subj: Human information processing Judgment (Psychology) Statistical sampling Psychological techniques Psychology -- Statistical methods ab: A cognitive–ecological approach to judgment biases is presented and substantiated by recent empirical evidence. Latent properties of the environment are not amenable to direct assessment but have to be inferred from empirical samples that provide the interface between cognition and the environment. The sampling process may draw on the external world or on internal memories. For systematic reasons (proximity, salience, and focus of attention), the resulting samples tend to be biased (selective, skewed, or conditional on information search strategies). Because people lack the metacognitive ability to understand and control for sampling constraints (predictor sampling, criterion sampling, selective-outcome sampling etc.), the sampling biases carry over to subsequent judgments. Within this framework, alternative accounts are offered for a number of judgment biases, such as base-rate neglect, confirmation bias, illusory correlation, pseudocontingency, Simpson's paradox, outgroup devaluation, and pragmatic-confusion effects. Reprinted by permission of the publisher. pubtype: Academic Journal doctype: Article src: R language: English refInfo: copyright: @attributes: flag: N holdings: @attributes: islocal: N |
|---|