New estimates of undocumented Mexican migration and the probability of apprehension.

A study was conducted to estimate the probability of apprehension among undocumented Mexican migrants attempting to cross into the U.S. between 1965 and 1989. An average apprehension probability of 0.35 was found, which confirmed earlier estimates. When these figures were combined with published a...

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Publicado en:Demography Vol. 32; pp. 203 - 214
Autores principales: Massey, Douglas S., Singer, Audrey
Formato: Artículo
Publicado: Springer Science & Business Media B.V. May 1995
Materias:
Acceso en línea:Ver este registro en EBSCOhost
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        atl: New estimates of undocumented Mexican migration and the probability of apprehension.
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          Massey, Douglas S.
          Singer, Audrey
      su:
        History of emigration & immigration
        Probability theory
        Undocumented immigrants
        History
        Mexico
        United States
      sug:
        subj:
          Mexico
          United States
          History of emigration & immigration
          Probability theory
          Undocumented immigrants
          History
      ab: A study was conducted to estimate the probability of apprehension among undocumented Mexican migrants attempting to cross into the U.S. between 1965 and 1989. An average apprehension probability of 0.35 was found, which confirmed earlier estimates. When these figures were combined with published apprehension statistics to estimate annual levels of gross undocumented migration between the two countries, it was found that this gross inflow grew by an average of 20 percent per year from 1965 to 1978. It then leveled off until the onset of Mexico's economic crisis resulted in another period of rapid expansion that peaked in 1986. Adjustment of these figures to account for return migration revealed a strong return flow that substantially offset the huge inflow of undocumented Mexican migrants. Over the period studied, 86 percent of all entries were offset by departures, leaving a net inflow of undocumented migrants of only 5.2 million.
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    language: English
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