The Basic Dynamics of the Presidential Nomination Process: Putting the 2000 Races in Perspective.
This article provides a broad overview of the presidential nomination process, focusing on how it finally settles on a candidate. In nomination races since 1980, two pieces of information have a very good track record for predicting the eventual nominee: the nomination preferences of national party...
| Publicado en: | Presidential Studies Quarterly Vol. 33; no. 1; pp. 72 - 101 |
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| Formato: | Artículo |
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Wiley-Blackwell
March 2003
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| Acceso en línea: | Ver este registro en EBSCOhost |
| fields | @attributes: recordID: 1 pdfLink: plink: https://search.ebscohost.com/login.aspx?direct=true&db=ssf&AN=510311479&site=ehost-live header: @attributes: shortDbName: ssf uiTerm: 510311479 longDbName: Social Sciences Full Text (H.W. Wilson) uiTag: AN controlInfo: bkinfo: jinfo: jid: 03604918 PRQ jtl: Presidential Studies Quarterly issn: 03604918 maglogo: N pubinfo: dt: March 2003 vid: 33 iid: 1 pid: 480 pub: Wiley-Blackwell artinfo: ui: 510311479 10.1111/j.1741-5705.2003.tb00017.x ppf: 72 ppct: 29 formats: fmt: – @attributes: type: T – @attributes: type: P size: 1.9MB tig: atl: The Basic Dynamics of the Presidential Nomination Process: Putting the 2000 Races in Perspective. aug: au: Mayer, William G. su: Presidential nominations Presidents of the United States United States presidential election, 2000 Primaries Caucus New Hampshire Iowa sug: subj: New Hampshire Iowa Presidential nominations Presidents of the United States United States presidential election, 2000 Primaries Caucus ab: This article provides a broad overview of the presidential nomination process, focusing on how it finally settles on a candidate. In nomination races since 1980, two pieces of information have a very good track record for predicting the eventual nominee: the nomination preferences of national party identifiers, as recorded in public opinion polls, and how much money each candidate had raised during the “invisible primary” period that precedes the actual delegate selection process. In seven of the past ten races, in fact, the eventual nominee was leading in the polls for at least a year before the first delegates were selected. Finally, the article examines the effect of the Iowa caucuses and the New Hampshire primary. It concludes that while a victory or even a second-place finish in New Hampshire has a substantial impact on a candidate's long-run fortunes, the effect of Iowa is much smaller and more contingent. Reprinted by permission of the publisher. pubtype: Academic Journal doctype: Article src: R language: English refInfo: copyright: @attributes: flag: N holdings: @attributes: islocal: N |
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