Presidential Election Polls in 2000: A Study in Dynamics.
Much research shows that voters behave in understandable ways on election day and that election outcomes themselves are quite predictable. Even to the extent we can predict what voters do at the very end of the campaign, we know relatively little about how electoral preferences evolve over time. The...
| Publicado en: | Presidential Studies Quarterly Vol. 33; no. 1; pp. 172 - 188 |
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| Formato: | Artículo |
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Wiley-Blackwell
March 2003
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| Acceso en línea: | Ver este registro en EBSCOhost |
| fields | @attributes: recordID: 1 pdfLink: plink: https://search.ebscohost.com/login.aspx?direct=true&db=ssf&AN=510311537&site=ehost-live header: @attributes: shortDbName: ssf uiTerm: 510311537 longDbName: Social Sciences Full Text (H.W. Wilson) uiTag: AN controlInfo: bkinfo: jinfo: jid: 03604918 PRQ jtl: Presidential Studies Quarterly issn: 03604918 maglogo: N pubinfo: dt: March 2003 vid: 33 iid: 1 pid: 480 pub: Wiley-Blackwell artinfo: ui: 510311537 10.1111/j.1741-5705.2003.tb00022.x ppf: 172 ppct: 16 formats: fmt: – @attributes: type: T – @attributes: type: P size: 917KB tig: atl: Presidential Election Polls in 2000: A Study in Dynamics. aug: au: Wlezien, Christopher su: United States presidential election, 2000 Public opinion polls United States sug: subj: United States United States presidential election, 2000 Public opinion polls ab: Much research shows that voters behave in understandable ways on election day and that election outcomes themselves are quite predictable. Even to the extent we can predict what voters do at the very end of the campaign, we know relatively little about how electoral preferences evolve over time. The U.S. presidential race in 2000 offers a fairly unique opportunity. The volume of available poll data for this particular election allows us to examine the dynamics of voter preferences in great detail for much of the election cycle. Analysis of the poll results in 2000 reveals that underlying electoral preferences changed quite meaningfully during the course of the campaign. The analysis also provides evidence that a significant portion of these changes in preferences actually persisted over time to affect the outcome on election day. Based on these results, it appears that the 2000 presidential election campaign mattered quite a lot. Reprinted by permission of the publisher. pubtype: Academic Journal doctype: Article src: R language: English refInfo: copyright: @attributes: flag: N holdings: @attributes: islocal: N |
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