Dynamic Relationships among GCC Stock Markets and NYMEX Oil Futures.

Daily relationships among stock markets of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) members, excluding Qatar, form two equilibrium relationships with varying predictive power. The Saudi market leads, followed by Bahrain and United Arab Emirates. Kuwait, which is dominated by momentum traders, and Oman hav...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Publicado en:Contemporary Economic Policy Vol. 22; no. 2; pp. 250 - 270
Autores principales: Hammoudeh, Shawkat, Aleisa, Eisa
Formato: Artículo
Publicado: Wiley-Blackwell April 2004
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Acceso en línea:Ver este registro en EBSCOhost
Descripción
Sumario:Daily relationships among stock markets of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) members, excluding Qatar, form two equilibrium relationships with varying predictive power. The Saudi market leads, followed by Bahrain and United Arab Emirates. Kuwait, which is dominated by momentum traders, and Oman have the weakest links with the other GCC markets. Only the Saudi index can predict—and be predicted by—New York Mercantile Exchange oil futures prices. Therefore these markets are candidates for diversified regional portfolios at the country level. The trading day effect is weak for all GCC markets and oil futures prices but remains consistent with findings for the U.S. stock market. (JEL C22, F3, Q49) Reprinted by permission of the publisher.