The Polls: Presidential Referendum Effects in the 2006 Midterm Elections.
Many commentators saw the 2006 midterm elections as a referendum on George W Bush's presidency, especially his unpopular Iraq War policy. Presidential referendum effects may be highly likely given the degree of party polarization and the concomitant attachment of large numbers of voters to the Democ...
| Publicado en: | Presidential Studies Quarterly Vol. 37; no. 3; pp. 545 - 558 |
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| Formato: | Artículo |
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Wiley-Blackwell
September 2007
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| Acceso en línea: | Ver este registro en EBSCOhost |
| fields | @attributes: recordID: 1 pdfLink: plink: https://search.ebscohost.com/login.aspx?direct=true&db=ssf&AN=510680301&site=ehost-live header: @attributes: shortDbName: ssf uiTerm: 510680301 longDbName: Social Sciences Full Text (H.W. Wilson) uiTag: AN controlInfo: bkinfo: jinfo: jid: 03604918 PRQ jtl: Presidential Studies Quarterly issn: 03604918 maglogo: N pubinfo: dt: September 2007 vid: 37 iid: 3 pid: 480 pub: Wiley-Blackwell artinfo: ui: 510680301 10.1111/j.1741-5705.2007.02611.x ppf: 545 ppct: 13 formats: fmt: – @attributes: type: T – @attributes: type: P size: 815KB tig: atl: The Polls: Presidential Referendum Effects in the 2006 Midterm Elections. aug: au: Cohen, Jeffrey E. su: United States Congressional elections United States legislators Presidents of the United States Public opinion sug: subj: United States Congressional elections United States legislators Presidents of the United States Public opinion keyword: Bush, George W. -- Public opinion Congressmen -- Election ab: Many commentators saw the 2006 midterm elections as a referendum on George W Bush's presidency, especially his unpopular Iraq War policy. Presidential referendum effects may be highly likely given the degree of party polarization and the concomitant attachment of large numbers of voters to the Democratic and Republican parties. But local factors, especially incumbency effects, may also have affected the outcome of the 2006 midterm contests. Using state-level presidential approval polls, analysis finds that Bush's approval, an indicator of referendum voting, had little impact on voting in Senate contests, once applying controls for the ideological and partisan composition of state voting populations. In contrast, even with these controls, Bush's approval influenced voting in gubernatorial contests. But Iraq War battle deaths affected voting for senators, suggestive of another type of referendum effect. Battle deaths, however, did not affect the gubernatorial races. Reprinted by permission of the publisher. pubtype: Academic Journal doctype: Article src: R language: English refInfo: copyright: @attributes: flag: N holdings: @attributes: islocal: N |
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