The Rising Share of Nonmarital Births: Is It only Compositional Effects?
A recent article by Gray, Stockard, and Stone contended that the increase in the proportion of births to unmarried women since 1974 in the United States was not caused by any major change in underlying fertility behavior, but rather by a decrease in the proportion of women who are married, which inc...
| Publicado en: | Demography Vol. 46; no. 1; pp. 193 - 203 |
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| Formato: | Artículo |
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Springer Science & Business Media B.V.
February 2009
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| Acceso en línea: | Ver este registro en EBSCOhost |
| fields | @attributes: recordID: 1 pdfLink: plink: https://search.ebscohost.com/login.aspx?direct=true&db=ssf&AN=510761269&site=ehost-live header: @attributes: shortDbName: ssf uiTerm: 510761269 longDbName: Social Sciences Full Text (H.W. Wilson) uiTag: AN controlInfo: bkinfo: jinfo: jid: 00703370 DEM jtl: Demography issn: 00703370 maglogo: N pubinfo: dt: February 2009 vid: 46 iid: 1 pid: 237 pub: Springer Science & Business Media B.V. artinfo: ui: 510761269 10.1353/dem.0.0040 ppf: 193 ppct: 10 formats: fmt: – @attributes: type: T – @attributes: type: P size: 1.9MB tig: atl: The Rising Share of Nonmarital Births: Is It only Compositional Effects? aug: au: Ermisch, John su: Children of unmarried parents Fertility, Human Mathematical models History Single women United States sug: subj: United States Children of unmarried parents Fertility, Human Mathematical models History Single women ab: A recent article by Gray, Stockard, and Stone contended that the increase in the proportion of births to unmarried women since 1974 in the United States was not caused by any major change in underlying fertility behavior, but rather by a decrease in the proportion of women who are married, which increased both the population at risk and the birth rate of unmarried women relative to that of married women. In this comment, I argue that the statistical test of this explanation used in the article is invalid because the variables in the analysis are not stationary time series. Correct statistical tests reject the explanation. In particular, I demonstrate persistent, nonstationary deviations from the relationships predicted by the theory advanced by Gray et at For long periods, the proportion unmarried played only a small role in the changes in the ratio of nonmarital to marital birth rates, contrary to the theory. Reprinted by permission of the publisher. pubtype: Academic Journal doctype: Article src: R language: English refInfo: copyright: @attributes: flag: N holdings: @attributes: islocal: N |
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