Efficient markets, fundamentals, and crashes: American theories of financial crises and market volatility.

Economists have struggled to characterize and model the dynamic evolution of economic phenomena throughout this century. For at least eight decades, American economists have faced the persistent choice between structural or formal models of evolving dynamics and those alternative portrayals that fo...

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Publicado en:American Journal of Economics & Sociology Vol. 57; no. 4; pp. 663 - 691
Autores principales: Spotton, Brenda, Rowley, Robin
Formato: Artículo
Publicado: Wiley-Blackwell October 1998
Materias:
Acceso en línea:Ver este registro en EBSCOhost
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      dt: October 1998
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      pub: Wiley-Blackwell
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        10.1111/j.1536-7150.1998.tb03384.x
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        atl: Efficient markets, fundamentals, and crashes: American theories of financial crises and market volatility.
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          Spotton, Brenda
          Rowley, Robin
      su:
        Efficient market theory
        Financial crises
        Stock prices
        Speculation
      sug:
        subj:
          Efficient market theory
          Financial crises
          Stock prices
          Speculation
      ab: Economists have struggled to characterize and model the dynamic evolution of economic phenomena throughout this century. For at least eight decades, American economists have faced the persistent choice between structural or formal models of evolving dynamics and those alternative portrayals that focused on historical narratives or qualitative features. In this article we compare the models and methods used by representative authors who have sought to address the swings in stock prices. Our rather terse comparison between the orthodox theorists and those we label heterodox demonstrates the wide divergence between the foci of approaches adopted. Their methods, conclusions, and implications differ markedly. Where the orthodox approaches focus all but exclusively on statistical issues, the heterodox group stresses the importance of incomplete information and markets in an institutional and historical context. Such fundamental differences prohibit any meaningful dialogue between proponents of the two basic approaches. Moreover, substantial deficiencies—technical and otherwise—of contributions within the two groups limit ability to discriminate between rival views within each group. The clearer identification of transparent roles for credit, technology, and institutions in the heterodox approaches, however, makes the awkward translation from theoretical model to social commentary much easier. Reprinted by permission of the publisher.
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    language: English
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