WHO VOTES FOR CHAVISMO?

The conventional wisdom about contemporary Venezuelan politics is that class voting has become commonplace, with the poor doggedly supporting Hugo Chávez while the rich oppose him. This class voting is considered both a new feature of Venezuelan politics and a puzzle given the multiclass bases of pr...

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Publicado en:Latin American Research Review Vol. 45; no. 1; pp. 7 - 33
Autor principal: Lupu, Noam
Formato: Artículo
Publicado: Cambridge University Press 2010
Materias:
Acceso en línea:Ver este registro en EBSCOhost
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      aug:
        au: Lupu, Noam
        affil: Princeton University
      su:
        Venezuela
        Chávez Frías, Hugo, 1954-2013
        Voting research
        Elections
        Public opinion
        Social status
        Venezuelan politics & government, 1999-
        Voting & society
      sug:
        subj:
          Voting research
          Elections
          Public opinion
          Social status
          Venezuela
          Venezuelan politics & government, 1999-
          Voting & society
          Chávez Frías, Hugo, 1954-2013
      ab: The conventional wisdom about contemporary Venezuelan politics is that class voting has become commonplace, with the poor doggedly supporting Hugo Chávez while the rich oppose him. This class voting is considered both a new feature of Venezuelan politics and a puzzle given the multiclass bases of prior populist leaders in Latin America. I clarify the concept of class voting by distinguishing between monotonic and nonmonotonic associations between class and vote choice. Using survey data, I find that only in Chávez's first election in 1998 was class voting monotonic. Since then, class voting in Venezuela has been nonmonotonic, with the very wealthiest Venezuelans disproportionately voting against Chávez. At the same time, Chávez's support appears to have increased most among the middle sectors of the income distribution, not the poorest. Finally, I find that whatever effect Chávez may have had on overall turnout, his efforts have not disproportionately mobilized poor voters.
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    language: English
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