Do Changes in the Labour Market Take Families Out of Poverty? Determinants of Exiting Poverty in Brazilian Metropolitan Regions.

Using survival models, we test whether short-term changes in the labour market affect poverty duration. Data are from the Brazilian Monthly Employment Survey. Such a monthly dataset permits more accurate estimations of events than using annual data, but its panel follows households for a short perio...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Publicado en:Journal of Development Studies Vol. 46; no. 9; pp. 1503 - 1523
Autores principales: Machado, AnaFlavia, Ribas, RafaelPerez
Formato: Artículo
Publicado: Taylor & Francis Ltd Oct2010
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Acceso en línea:Ver este registro en EBSCOhost
Descripción
Sumario:Using survival models, we test whether short-term changes in the labour market affect poverty duration. Data are from the Brazilian Monthly Employment Survey. Such a monthly dataset permits more accurate estimations of events than using annual data, but its panel follows households for a short period. Then methods that control for both right- and left-censoring should be used. The results are as follows: households with zero income are not those with the lowest chances of exiting; changes in aggregate unemployment do not affect poverty duration; and increasing wages in the informal sector has a negative effect on poverty duration.