Estimation of Hybrid Phillips Curve: A Source of Conflicting Empirical Results.

Recent empirical studies of the hybrid Phillips curve draw conflicting conclusions about the relative role of forward-looking behavior and the role of marginal cost as the driving force. It is difficult to identify the source of the conflicting results in past studies because of differences in the m...

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Publicado en:Southern Economic Journal Vol. 78; no. 4; pp. 1265 - 1289
Autores principales: Hwang, Hae-shin, Kim, Woong
Formato: Artículo
Publicado: Wiley-Blackwell Apr2012
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Acceso en línea:Ver este registro en EBSCOhost
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      dt: Apr2012
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        10.4284/0038-4038-78.4.1265
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        atl: Estimation of Hybrid Phillips Curve: A Source of Conflicting Empirical Results.
      aug:
        au:
          Hwang, Hae-shin
          Kim, Woong
        affil:
          Texas A&M University, Department of Economics, 3035 Allen Building, College Station, TX 77843-4228, USA
          The Bank of Korea, Research Department, 110, 3-Ga, Namdaemun-Ro, Jung-Gu, Seoul, 100-794, Korea
      su:
        Economic indicators
        Phillips curve
        Mathematical models of inflation
        Demand function
        Mathematical variables
      sug:
        subj:
          Economic indicators
          Phillips curve
          Mathematical models of inflation
          Demand function
          Mathematical variables
      ab: Recent empirical studies of the hybrid Phillips curve draw conflicting conclusions about the relative role of forward-looking behavior and the role of marginal cost as the driving force. It is difficult to identify the source of the conflicting results in past studies because of differences in the measure of inflation, the estimation equation, and the instrumental variables. This article presents evidence that a source of the conflict is the use of suboptimal sets of instruments. When the optimum set of instruments is selected by using the L[sub 2]-boosting method from the principal components of a large number of valid instruments, all conflicting conclusions in previous studies vanish. Regardless of the choice of inflation measure and estimation equation, we identify the dominant role of forward-looking behavior and a significant effect of the real marginal cost on inflation.
      pubtype: Academic Journal
      doctype: Article
      src: R
    language: English
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