Panel Conditioning in Longitudinal Studies: Evidence From Labor Force Items in the Current Population Survey.

Does participating in a longitudinal survey affect respondents' answers to subsequent questions about their labor force characteristics? In this article, we investigate the magnitude of panel conditioning or time-in-survey biases for key labor force questions in the monthly Current Population Survey...

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Publicado en:Demography (Springer Nature) Vol. 49; no. 4; pp. 1499 - 1520
Autores principales: Halpern-Manners, Andrew, Warren, John
Formato: Artículo
Publicado: Springer Nature Nov2012
Materias:
Acceso en línea:Ver este registro en EBSCOhost
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        atl: Panel Conditioning in Longitudinal Studies: Evidence From Labor Force Items in the Current Population Survey.
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        au:
          Halpern-Manners, Andrew
          Warren, John
        affil: Department of Sociology and Minnesota Population Center, University of Minnesota, 909 Social Sciences, 267 19th Avenue South Minneapolis 55455 USA
      su:
        Social science research methods
        Respondents
        Labor supply
        Employment
        Longitudinal method
        Panel analysis
        Survey methodology
      sug:
        subj:
          Social science research methods
          Respondents
          Labor supply
          Employment
          Temporary Help Services
          Research and Development in the Social Sciences and Humanities
          Longitudinal method
          Panel analysis
          Survey methodology
      keyword:
        Labor force
        Panel conditioning
        Survey research methods
        Labor force
        Panel conditioning
        Survey research methods
      ab: Does participating in a longitudinal survey affect respondents' answers to subsequent questions about their labor force characteristics? In this article, we investigate the magnitude of panel conditioning or time-in-survey biases for key labor force questions in the monthly Current Population Survey (CPS). Using linked CPS records for household heads first interviewed between January 2007 and June 2010, our analyses are based on strategic within-person comparisons across survey months and between-person comparisons across CPS rotation groups. We find considerable evidence for panel conditioning effects in the CPS. Panel conditioning downwardly biases the CPS-based unemployment rate, mainly by leading people to remove themselves from its denominator. Across surveys, CPS respondents (claim to) leave the labor force in greater numbers than otherwise equivalent respondents who are participating in the CPS for the first time. The results cannot be attributed to panel attrition or mode effects. We discuss implications for CPS-based research and policy as well as for survey methodology more broadly.
      pubtype: Academic Journal
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    language: English
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