Who Should Be Afraid of the Jeffreys-Lindley Paradox?

The article revisits the large n (sample size) problem as it relates to the Jeffreys-Lindley paradox to compare the frequentist, Bayesian, and likelihoodist approaches to inference and evidence. It is argued that what is fallacious is to interpret a rejection of H as providing the same evidence for...

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Publicado en:Philosophy of Science Vol. 80; no. 1; pp. 73 - 94
Autor principal: Spanos, Aris
Formato: Artículo
Publicado: Cambridge University Press Jan2013
Materias:
Acceso en línea:Ver este registro en EBSCOhost
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          Paradox
          Bayesian analysis
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      ab: The article revisits the large n (sample size) problem as it relates to the Jeffreys-Lindley paradox to compare the frequentist, Bayesian, and likelihoodist approaches to inference and evidence. It is argued that what is fallacious is to interpret a rejection of H as providing the same evidence for a particular alternative H irrespective of n; this is an example of the fallacy of rejection. Moreover, the Bayesian and likelihoodist approaches are shown to be susceptible to the fallacy of acceptance. The key difference is that in frequentist testing the severity evaluation circumvents both fallacies but no such principled remedy exists for the other approaches.
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