'Small Data' Enabled Prediction Of Obama's Win, Say Economists.

The article examines how economists used computer programming to predict the results of the 2012 U.S. presidential election, which was won by U.S. President Barack Obama. Justin Wolfers of the University of Michigan describes several forecasting methods that were used which incorporate data such as...

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Publicado en:Communications of the ACM Vol. 56; no. 5; pp. 23 - 26
Autor principal: Hyman, Paul
Formato: Artículo
Publicado: Association for Computing Machinery May2013
Materias:
Acceso en línea:Ver este registro en EBSCOhost
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        Election forecasting
        United States presidential election, 2012
        Economists
        Big data
        Regression analysis
        Obama, Barack, 1961-
        Wolfers, Justin
        United States
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          United States
          Election forecasting
          United States presidential election, 2012
          Economists
          Big data
          Regression analysis
          Obama, Barack, 1961-
          Wolfers, Justin
      ab: The article examines how economists used computer programming to predict the results of the 2012 U.S. presidential election, which was won by U.S. President Barack Obama. Justin Wolfers of the University of Michigan describes several forecasting methods that were used which incorporate data such as gross domestic product (GDP) growth, public opinion polls, and stock market prices. Particular attention is given to the lack of using big data, a term used for large information sets. Patrick Hummel, a research scientist at Internet corporation Google, describes how he used simple linear regression to predict the election.
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