How trustworthy are forecasts of international migration between Poland and the European Union?

The paper examines forecasts of international migration between Poland and the EU. It focuses on the analysis and evaluation of the methodology and results of some of these forecasts from a demographic point of view. The first issue considered is the diversity of forms of international mobility of p...

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Publicado en:Journal of Ethnic & Migration Studies Vol. 28; no. 4; pp. 627 - 646
Autor principal: Kupiszewski, Marek
Formato: Artículo
Publicado: Taylor & Francis Ltd Oct2002
Materias:
Acceso en línea:Ver este registro en EBSCOhost
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      aug:
        au: Kupiszewski, Marek
      su:
        Emigration & immigration
        Poland
        European Union countries
      sug:
        subj:
          Poland
          European Union countries
          Emigration & immigration
      keyword:
        enlargement
        European Union
        FORECAST
        International migration
      ab: The paper examines forecasts of international migration between Poland and the EU. It focuses on the analysis and evaluation of the methodology and results of some of these forecasts from a demographic point of view. The first issue considered is the diversity of forms of international mobility of population and its significance for migration forecasting. Then the impact of the difference in definitions of international migrations and differences in migration data arising from them are discussed. An estimate of the maximum net migration from Poland to the European Union based on historic flows is made. This information is used to evaluate the feasibility of selected forecasts of international migration from Poland after entry to the European Union.
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    language: English
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