Bayes in biological anthropology.

ABSTRACT In this article, we both contend and illustrate that biological anthropologists, particularly in the Americas, often think like Bayesians but act like frequentists when it comes to analyzing a wide variety of data. In other words, while our research goals and perspectives are rooted in prob...

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Publicado en:American Journal of Physical Anthropology Vol. 152; pp. 153 - 185
Autores principales: Konigsberg, Lyle W., Frankenberg, Susan R.
Formato: Artículo
Publicado: Wiley-Blackwell Dec2013 Supplement
Materias:
Acceso en línea:Ver este registro en EBSCOhost
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        atl: Bayes in biological anthropology.
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        au:
          Konigsberg, Lyle W.
          Frankenberg, Susan R.
        affil: Department of Anthropology, University of Illinois at Urbana‐Champaign, Urbana IL, 61801
      su:
        Physical anthropology
        Anthropologists
        Computer simulation
        Statistical hypothesis testing
        Bayesian analysis
        Statistics
        Data analysis
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        subj:
          Physical anthropology
          Anthropologists
          Computer simulation
          Statistical hypothesis testing
          Bayesian analysis
          Statistics
          Data analysis
      keyword:
        Bayesian statistics
        MCMC
        OpenBUGS
        Bayesian statistics
        MCMC
        OpenBUGS
      ab: ABSTRACT In this article, we both contend and illustrate that biological anthropologists, particularly in the Americas, often think like Bayesians but act like frequentists when it comes to analyzing a wide variety of data. In other words, while our research goals and perspectives are rooted in probabilistic thinking and rest on prior knowledge, we often proceed to use statistical hypothesis tests and confidence interval methods unrelated (or tenuously related) to the research questions of interest. We advocate for applying Bayesian analyses to a number of different bioanthropological questions, especially since many of the programming and computational challenges to doing so have been overcome in the past two decades. To facilitate such applications, this article explains Bayesian principles and concepts, and provides concrete examples of Bayesian computer simulations and statistics that address questions relevant to biological anthropology, focusing particularly on bioarchaeology and forensic anthropology. It also simultaneously reviews the use of Bayesian methods and inference within the discipline to date. This article is intended to act as primer to Bayesian methods and inference in biological anthropology, explaining the relationships of various methods to likelihoods or probabilities and to classical statistical models. Our contention is not that traditional frequentist statistics should be rejected outright, but that there are many situations where biological anthropology is better served by taking a Bayesian approach. To this end it is hoped that the examples provided in this article will assist researchers in choosing from among the broad array of statistical methods currently available. Am J Phys Anthropol 57:153-184, 2013. © 2013 Wiley Periodicals, Inc.
      pubtype: Academic Journal
      doctype: Article
      src: R
    language: English
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