THE BOY WHO CRIED BUBBLE: PUBLIC WARNINGS AGAINST RIDING BUBBLES.

Attempts by governments to stop bubbles by issuing warnings seem unsuccessful. This article examines the effects of public warnings using a simple model of riding bubbles. We show that public warnings against a bubble can stop it if investors believe that a warning is issued in a definite range of p...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Publicado en:Economic Inquiry Vol. 52; no. 3; pp. 1137 - 1153
Autores principales: ASAKO, YASUSHI, UEDA, KOZO
Formato: Artículo
Publicado: Wiley-Blackwell Jul2014
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Acceso en línea:Ver este registro en EBSCOhost
Descripción
Sumario:Attempts by governments to stop bubbles by issuing warnings seem unsuccessful. This article examines the effects of public warnings using a simple model of riding bubbles. We show that public warnings against a bubble can stop it if investors believe that a warning is issued in a definite range of periods commencing around the starting period of the bubble. If a warning involves the possibility of being issued too early, regardless of the starting period of the bubble, it cannot stop the bubble immediately. Bubble duration can be shortened by a premature public warning, but lengthened if it is late.( JEL D82, E58, G18)