Climate Change Assessments: Confidence, Probability, and Decision.
The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change has developed a novel framework for assessing and communicating uncertainty in the findings published in its periodic assessment reports. But how should these uncertainty assessments inform decisions? We take a formal decision-making perspective to inves...
| Publicado en: | Philosophy of Science Vol. 84; no. 3; pp. 500 - 523 |
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| Autores principales: | , , |
| Formato: | Artículo |
| Publicado: |
Cambridge University Press
Jul2017
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| Materias: | |
| Acceso en línea: | Ver este registro en EBSCOhost |
| Sumario: | The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change has developed a novel framework for assessing and communicating uncertainty in the findings published in its periodic assessment reports. But how should these uncertainty assessments inform decisions? We take a formal decision-making perspective to investigate how scientific input formulated in the IPCC's novel framework might inform decisions in a principled way through a normative decision model. |
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