Climate Change Assessments: Confidence, Probability, and Decision.

The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change has developed a novel framework for assessing and communicating uncertainty in the findings published in its periodic assessment reports. But how should these uncertainty assessments inform decisions? We take a formal decision-making perspective to inves...

Descripción completa

Detalles Bibliográficos
Publicado en:Philosophy of Science Vol. 84; no. 3; pp. 500 - 523
Autores principales: Bradley, Richard, Helgeson, Casey, Hill, Brian
Formato: Artículo
Publicado: Cambridge University Press Jul2017
Materias:
Acceso en línea:Ver este registro en EBSCOhost
fields @attributes:
  recordID: 1
pdfLink:
plink: https://search.ebscohost.com/login.aspx?direct=true&db=hlh&AN=123595322&site=ehost-live
header:
  @attributes:
    shortDbName: hlh
    uiTerm: 123595322
    longDbName: Humanities International Complete
    uiTag: AN
  controlInfo:
    bkinfo:
    jinfo:
      jid:
        00318248
        PSC
      jtl: Philosophy of Science
      issn: 00318248
      maglogo: N
    pubinfo:
      dt: Jul2017
      vid: 84
      iid: 3
      pid: 15979
      pub: Cambridge University Press
    artinfo:
      ui:
        123595322
        10.1086/692145
      ppf: 500
      ppct: 23
      formats:
        fmt:
          – @attributes:
              type: T
          – @attributes:
              type: P
              size: 898KB
      tig:
        atl: Climate Change Assessments: Confidence, Probability, and Decision.
      aug:
        au:
          Bradley, Richard
          Helgeson, Casey
          Hill, Brian
      su:
        Climate change
        Probability theory
        Decision making
        Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
        Uncertainty
      sug:
        subj:
          Climate change
          Probability theory
          Decision making
          Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
          Uncertainty
      ab: The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change has developed a novel framework for assessing and communicating uncertainty in the findings published in its periodic assessment reports. But how should these uncertainty assessments inform decisions? We take a formal decision-making perspective to investigate how scientific input formulated in the IPCC's novel framework might inform decisions in a principled way through a normative decision model.
      pubtype: Academic Journal
      doctype: Article
      src: R
    language: English
    refInfo:
    copyright:
      @attributes:
        flag: Y
      custom: Copyright of Philosophy of Science is the property of Cambridge University Press and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites without the copyright holder's express written permission. Additionally, content may not be used with any artificial intelligence tools or machine learning technologies. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use.
      item: Philosophy of Science
      holder: Cambridge University Press
      dt:
        @attributes:
          year: 2017
    holdings:
      @attributes:
        islocal: N