MISSING NONVOTERS AND MISWEIGHTED SAMPLES: EXPLAINING THE 2015 GREAT BRITISH POLLING MISS.

Preelection polls for the 2015 UK General Election missed the final result by a considerable margin: underestimating the Conservative Party and overestimating Labour. Analyzing evidence for five theories of why the polls missed using British Election Study (BES) data, we find limited evidence for sy...

Descripción completa

Detalles Bibliográficos

Publicado en:	Public Opinion Quarterly Vol. 81; no. 3; pp. 661 - 688
Autores principales:	MELLON, JONATHAN, PROSSER, CHRISTOPHER
Formato:	Artículo
Publicado:	Oxford University Press / USA Fall2017
Materias:	United Kingdom Conservative Party (Great Britain) Labour Party (Great Britain) Elections Election forecasting Statistical errors Statistical sampling British politics & government, 2007- Voter psychology Internet surveys
Acceso en línea:	Ver este registro en EBSCOhost