A paradox for tiny probabilities and enormous values.

We begin by showing that every theory of the value of uncertain prospects must have one of three unpalatable properties. Reckless theories recommend giving up a sure thing, no matter how good, for an arbitrarily tiny chance of enormous gain; timid theories permit passing up an arbitrarily large pote...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:Nous (0029-4624) Vol. 58; no. 2; pp. 431 - 456
Main Authors: Beckstead, Nick, Thomas, Teruji
Format: Article
Published: Wiley-Blackwell Jun2024
Subjects:
Online Access:View this record in EBSCOhost