Estimating industry conduct using promotion data.

We estimate the evolution of competition in the ready‐to‐eat cereal industry. To separately identify detailed patterns of industry conduct from unobserved marginal cost shocks, we construct novel instruments that interact data on rival firms' promotions with measures of products' relative isolation...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Publicado en:RAND Journal of Economics (Wiley-Blackwell) Vol. 55; no. 4; pp. 658 - 684
Autores principales: Michel, Christian, Paz y Miño, Jose Manuel, Weiergraeber, Stefan
Formato: Artículo
Publicado: Wiley-Blackwell Dec2024
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Acceso en línea:Ver este registro en EBSCOhost
Descripción
Sumario:We estimate the evolution of competition in the ready‐to‐eat cereal industry. To separately identify detailed patterns of industry conduct from unobserved marginal cost shocks, we construct novel instruments that interact data on rival firms' promotions with measures of products' relative isolation in the characteristics space. We find strong evidence for partial price coordination among cereal manufacturers in the beginning of our sample. After a merger in 1993 conduct becomes more competitive and on average consistent with multiproduct Nash pricing. The last part of our sample is characterized by even more aggressive pricing, implying median wholesale margins of less than 5%.