Comparison of Borrowing Methods for Incorporating Historical Data in Single-Arm Phase II Clinical Trials.

Background: Over the last few years, many efforts have been made to leverage historical information in clinical trials. Incorporating historical data into current trials allows for a more efficient design, smaller studies, or shorter duration and may potentially increase the relative amount of infor...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Published in:Therapeutic Innovation & Regulatory Science Vol. 59; no. 1; pp. 20 - 31
Main Authors: Urru, Sara, Verbeni, Michela, Azzolina, Danila, Baldi, Ileana, Berchialla, Paola
Format: equations & formulas research tables/charts Journal Article
Published: Springer Nature Jan2025
Online Access:View this record in EBSCOhost
fields @attributes:
  recordID: 1
pdfLink:
plink: https://search.ebscohost.com/login.aspx?direct=true&db=ccm&AN=182099801&site=ehost-live
header:
  @attributes:
    shortDbName: ccm
    uiTerm: 182099801
    longDbName: CINAHL Complete
    uiTag: AN
  controlInfo:
    bkinfo:
    dissinfo:
    jinfo:
      jid:
        21684790
        FUHO
      jtl: Therapeutic Innovation & Regulatory Science
      issn: 21684790
      maglogo: N
    pubinfo:
      dt: Jan2025
      vid: 59
      iid: 1
      pid: 237
      pub: Springer Nature
      place: New York, New York
    artinfo:
      ui:
        182099801
        181005698
        182099801
        182099801
        10.1007/s43441-024-00723-5
        182099801
      ppf: 20
      ppct: 11
      formats:
      tig:
        atl: Comparison of Borrowing Methods for Incorporating Historical Data in Single-Arm Phase II Clinical Trials.
      aug:
        au:
          Urru, Sara
          Verbeni, Michela
          Azzolina, Danila
          Baldi, Ileana
          Berchialla, Paola
        affil: https://ror.org/00240q980 Unit of Biostatistics, Epidemiology and Public Health, Department of Cardiac, Thoracic, Vascular Sciences and Public Health, University of Padova, Padova, Italy
      sug:
        subj:
          Clinical Trials
          Models, Statistical
          Study Design
          Access to Information
          Human
          Research Personnel
          Simulations
          Probability
          Data Analysis, Statistical
          Correlation Coefficient
          Data Analysis Software
      ab: Background: Over the last few years, many efforts have been made to leverage historical information in clinical trials. Incorporating historical data into current trials allows for a more efficient design, smaller studies, or shorter duration and may potentially increase the relative amount of information on efficacy and safety. Despite these advantages, it is crucial to select external data sources appropriately to avoid introducing potential bias into the new study. This is where borrowing methods become useful. We illustrate and compare the latest methods of borrowing historical data in a single-arm phase II clinical trial setting, examining their impact on statistical power and type I error. Methods: We implemented static and dynamic versions of the power prior method, incorporating overlapping coefficient and loss functions and meta-analytic predictive priors. These methods were compared with standard and pooling approaches, in which none or all historical data are used. Results: Dynamic borrowing methods achieve lower type I error inflation than pooling. The power prior approach, integrated with overlapping coefficient, allowed for measuring the similarity of the subjects considering their baseline characteristics, thus the likelihood of the data contains information about both confounders and outcome. Using a discounting function to estimate the power parameter guarantees the similarity of historical information and current trial data. Conclusion: We provided a comprehensive overview of borrowing methods, encompassing frequentist and Bayesian approaches as well as static and dynamic technique, to guide researchers in selecting the most appropriate strategy.
      pubtype: Academic Journal
      doctype:
        equations & formulas
        research
        tables/charts
        Journal Article
      ougenre: Article
    language: English
    refInfo:
    holdings:
      @attributes:
        islocal: N