HOW TO PREDICT FUTURE DURATION FROM PRESENT AGE.

The physicist J. Richard Gott has given an argument which, if good, allows one to make accurate predictions for the future longevity of a process, based solely on its present age. We show that there are problems with some of the details of Gott's argument, but we defend the core thesis: in many circ...

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Bibliographic Details

Published in:	Philosophical Quarterly Vol. 56; no. 222; pp. 16 - 39
Main Authors:	Monton, Bradley, Kierland, Brian
Format:	Article
Published:	Oxford University Press / USA Jan2006
Subjects:	Gott, J. Richard Physicists Age Reasoning Thought & thinking Debate
Online Access:	View this record in EBSCOhost